Deborah Weir's Blog, page 14

If you are in Greater NYC, please join us on November 16t...

If you are in Greater NYC, please join us on November 16th for an update on how the indicators in my book helped, or hindered, you during this year's volatile market. The title of the presentation is "Free Information That's Easy to Use."

This is a "Special Interest Group" meeting of the American Association of Individual Investors. http://www.aaii.com/

We will meet from 6-7pm at Saint Jean Baptiste Catholic Church, 184 E. 76th St. (corner of Lexington Ave.) The church's phone no. is 212.288.5082 and the website is http://stjeanbaptisteny.org/

The event includes heavy hors d'ouevres from for which the general public pays a small fee. My guests are usually admitted for free, but you must let me know you're coming. DebWeir@WealthStrategies.bz

Buy Timing the Market at Amazon.com

Finally, some good news in the housing market! According ...

Finally, some good news in the housing market! According to "The Economist" magazine, rising rents are helping the housing market recovery. http://www.economist.com/node/21536592
Higher rents encourage people to buy homes.Higher rents encourage owners of homes to rent them out.Fannie & Freddie may be able to sell their inventories of foreclosed properties to people who want rental incomeTherefore, both the supply and the demand side of the problem may be addressed.
Buy Timing the Market at Amazon.com

Good news on the employment front! Maybe the Fed's effor...

Good news on the employment front! Maybe the Fed's efforts are paying off! Buy Timing the Market at Amazon.com

Good news for business owners...bad news for employees: h...

Good news for business owners...bad news for employees: http://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/prod2.pdf

Higher productivity and lower labor costs will help this anemic recovery. The stronger recovery will produce more jobs, income, and a virtuous circle.

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The Fed has raised its probability of a double-dip recess...

The Fed has raised its probability of a double-dip recession from 1% to 7%.  They state that, while this is a big increase, it's still a very small probability. Their updated estimate for 2012 GDP growth remains at a low level.


This data is free on the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland's website. It has just published the October issue of "Economic Trends." http://www.clevelandfed.org/research/trends/2011/1011/ET_oct11.pdfBuy Timing the Market at Amazon.com

If you live in Greater NYC, please join us on November 16...

If you live in Greater NYC, please join us on November 16th. The American Association of Individual Investors will meet from 6-7pm at St. Jean's Church

Saint Jean Baptiste Catholic Church, 184 E. 76th is at the corner of Lexington Ave. (the Lexington Ave. Subway stops one block away.)
"Investment tools that are free on the Internet and Easy to Use." This lecture/discussion will be based on the book TIMING THE MARKET by Deborah Weir (Wiley & Sons, 2005) . Please RSVP to Deborah at DebWeir@WealthStrategies.bz.
I will discuss my book's application to this year's difficult market. A small fee at the door covers a great buffet supper; I will see if we can waive this cost for my guests.
The church's phone no. is 212.288.5082 http://stjeanbaptisteny.org/Buy Timing the Market at Amazon.com

That all-important measure of investor confidence, the di...

That all-important measure of investor confidence, the difference in yields between the10-yr. note and the 3-mo. bill, is improving.
The S&P has improved right along with this indicator; the index has increased over 100 points so far in October.Buy Timing the Market at Amazon.com

A double-dip recession dominates the financial press. The...

A double-dip recession dominates the financial press. The Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, however, sees a healthier scenario.
http://www.clevelandfed.org/research/trends/2011/0911/et_sep11.pdf?WT.oss=september 2011 economic trends&WT.oss_r=347Buy Timing the Market at Amazon.com

"Operation Twist," where the Fed sells short-term in...

"Operation Twist," where the Fed sells short-term instruments in order to buy long-term ones, was expected to flatten the yield curve. That didn't happen this week; the curve became steeper. Are investors selling bonds to go into the stock market?

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Two useful indicators are the TED and the Libor/OIS sprea...

Two useful indicators are the TED and the Libor/OIS spreads. Seeking Alpha has a great description and analysis: http://seekingalpha.com/article/296799-watch-the-ted-and-libor-ois-spreads-for-market-signalsBuy Timing the Market at Amazon.com