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L'uomo stocastico

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3.59 of 5 stars 3.59  ·  rating details  ·  586 ratings  ·  22 reviews
Stocastico: voce dotta dal greco stochéstikos (congetturale, dovuto al caso, aleatorio). Questo dice il dizionario. Ma Robert Silverberg dice di più. Dice che uno specialista di indagini conoscitive e di statistiche previsionali, un professionista della congettura, può tutto a un tratto scoprire la vera natura del proprio talento. E questo talento non ha niente a che fare...more
Paperback, Urania Collezione #085, 303 pages
Published February 2010 by Mondadori (first published 1975)
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Charles Dee Mitchell
Robert Silverberg considered The Stochastic Man a valedictory offering. When he wrote the novel in the early 1970's he had already resolved to effect his second retirement from the world of science fiction. His first retirement came around 1958, the year the science fiction magazine world imploded due to over-saturation and the growing market for paperback books. Writer and editor Frederick Pohl brought Silverberg back into the sf fold in the early 1960's, encouraging him to write more thoughtfu...more
Sandy
Although his previous output had for several decades been nothing short of prodigious, by the mid-'70s, sci-fi great Robert Silverberg was finally beginning to slow down. The author had released no fewer than 23 sci-fi novels during his initial, "pulpy" phase (1954 - '65), and a full 23 more from 1967 - '72, his second, more mature, more literate period. And following 1972's "Dying Inside"--whose central conceit of a telepath losing his powers has often been seen as corresponding to Silverberg's...more
Roddy Williams
‘Lew Nichols is in the business of stochastic prediction. A mixture of sophisticated analysis and inspired guesswork, it is the nearest man can get to predicting the future. And Nichols is very good at it. His uncanny accuracy in guessing the future quickly makes him indispensable to Paul Quinn, the ambitious and charismatic mayor of New York whose sights are firmly set on the presidency.

But there is nothing paranormal about stochastic prediction: Nichols can’t actually see the future. However,...more
Nicolas
Ce roman nous raconte les (més)aventures de Lew Nichols, renifleur de tendances plongeant peu à peu dans les arcanes de la politique, et découvrant peu à peu qu’en plus des prédictions scientifiques qu’il peut fournir existent toute une catégorie de perceptions plus étranges lui permettant de franchir les limites du présent. Ce roman est très proche de L’oreille interne par de nombreux aspects : la thématique de l’homme face à un pouvoir plus grand que lui, la situation sociale du héros qui se p...more
Allie
The Stochastic Man was a story about a particular man’s political campaign, but I think its main intent was to address interesting ideas of concerning free will and determinism. I found the story to be much more interesting as it moved away from the day-to-day details of Paul Quinn’s political career and began to discuss the implications of the Transit belief system and Carvajal’s devastating supernatural clairvoyance. Aside from Lew and Carvajal, the characters weren’t particularly deeply devel...more
James
I picked this up on a whim second-hand because I read Robert Silverberg's Book of Skulls about ten years ago and it was an interesting read. This one was similar - very professional, but left me a bit cold. The philosophical ideas were well integrated with the story and dealt with cleverly.

It had flaws though. I had no idea how the book would end, and when it did I thought it fell a bit flat. The other off-putting thing was that it was written in 1975 and set in 1999-2000, and the picture of the...more
Mark
A thoughtful little book. Lew Nichols is, essentially, a statistician. He's very good at predicting (accurately) trends. This is valuable to lots of people, including politicians, who pay him lots of money for his skills.

But then Lew meats Carvajal, a man who really can see the future, and the thought experiment that ensues is worth the read. What would you give up to see the future accurately? Is it worth seeing your own death? Does knowing this change your own behavior? If the future can't be...more
Giacomo Boccardo
Ambientato alla fine del ventesimo secolo, questo romanzo ha come protagonista Lew Nichols, un uomo che basa la propria attività lavorativa sulla capacità di prevedere il futuro basandosi su indagini probabilistiche ed un innato intuito.
A sconvolgere la sua vita sono due avvenimenti principali: il desiderio di aiutare nella scalata al potere l’uomo politico Paul Quinn e l’incontro con Martin Carvajal, quest’ultimo non solo capace di intuire il futuro, ma di vederlo.

Purtroppo la visione pessimist...more
Victor Whitman
Another good one from Robert Silverberg. He may not get much press but he definitely is one of the best around.

Huma Zafar
I started this book quite excitedly, but it didn't take long for disappointment to sink in. This book gets repetitive and annoying really fast. Why does Lew do things because some crazy guy tells him that's what he has seen him doing in the future? It would have been interesting to see the consequences of Lew trying to challenge Carvajal just once but I got the feeling that Silverberg just didn't know what to do with the concept for the length of an entire novel.

[Also, I didn't make it to the en...more
Ron Johnson
Hugo Nominee 1976
James Broussard
I didn't like this at all. A big miss for Silverberg and I only finished it to round out the Hugo and Nebula nominees. I have a lot of Silverberg coming up and I hope the rest of it is as good as his other stuff I have read and not this bad.
Laura
This review has been hidden because it contains spoilers. To view it, click here.
Tom
This is something of a classic sci-fi (circa 1970) about a man who uses probability theory and emperical analysis to predict the future. Also about his efforts to promote a politician to the presidency.
Niklaus
non è riuscito a coinvolgermi. Dopo un po di tentativi la sera di proseguire, visti il continuo sbadigliare, ho deciso di eliminarlo. Peccato
mark
When you know the future, what's the point of living?
Octave Boussaton
Pas aussi bien que Renaitre encore mais pas mal.
Stephen Hampshire
A giant of pulp SF, always has interesting ideas.
kencf0618
An oldie but goodie which predates chaos theory.
Moses
Moses marked it as to-read
Oct 22, 2014
Jack Skillingstead
Jack Skillingstead is currently reading it
Oct 22, 2014
Mike
Mike marked it as to-read
Oct 21, 2014
Haljon
Haljon marked it as to-read
Oct 13, 2014
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Robert Silverberg is one of science fiction’s most beloved writers, and the author of such contemporary classics as Dying Inside, Downward to the Earth and Lord Valentine’s Castle, as well as At Winter’s End, also available in a Bison Books edition. He is a past president of the Science Fiction and Fantasy Writers of America and the winner of five Nebula Awards and five Hugo Awards. In 2004 the Sc...more
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