Fault Lines: How Hidden Fractures Still Threaten the World Economy
Raghuram Rajan was one of the few economists who warned of the global financial crisis before it hit. Now, as the world struggles to recover, it's tempting to blame what happened on just a few greedy bankers who took irrational risks and left the rest of us to foot the bill. In "Fault Lines," Rajan argues that serious flaws in the economy are also to blame, and warns that
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(first published May 4th 2010)
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Rajan does an exceptional job of distilling the factors leading to the 2008 financial sector meltdown, linking the actions of government (both US and world governments) and the private sector, and dispassionately describing the various ways they contributed to the creation and bursting of the bubble. He also makes some very cogent and disturbing points about the lack of correction (and in some cases, exacerbation) of the "fault lines' he identifies in the world economy, which threaten to push us...more
In 2005, the author, at an elite economists gathering honoring the then Fed Reserve governor, Alan Greenspan, made the point that financial development had made the world riskier. He met with scorn and as the documentary 'Inside Job' showed, accusations of being a luddite!
This book written in the aftermath of the subprime crisis is a call to understand that until the root of the problems - The Fault Lines that exist are not addressed, any recovery from the economic mess will be short lived. The...more
This book written in the aftermath of the subprime crisis is a call to understand that until the root of the problems - The Fault Lines that exist are not addressed, any recovery from the economic mess will be short lived. The...more
Rajan goes to great lengths to maintain a non-partisan tone while describing what he calls "fault lines." These fault lines are problems inherent in economic systems, both global and national (with emphasis on the United States), that contribute to the magnitude and frequency of economic catastrophes like the credit crisis of 2008. This is an easy read for an armchair economist (someone like myself, who has had no Economics classes and doesn't know any of the jargon) despite being a scholarly wo...more
This is a wonderful book about the causes of the 2007 financial crisis and Great Recession, and the extent to which they could resurface in the future. The author writes very clearly, and while the topic is a little dry, almost every page features interesting insights. (I learned relatively quickly that reading this book required my full attention.)
Interesting things I learned: US house prices were more volatile at the low end than the high end (in contrast with other countries that saw a housin...more
Interesting things I learned: US house prices were more volatile at the low end than the high end (in contrast with other countries that saw a housin...more
Provocative economic analysis
Dismissing the 2008 recession as an inevitable free market setback might seem simple, but economist Raghuram G. Rajan doesn't take the easy path. He makes a compelling case that the weak links in the global economy remain both visible and fixable. In a provocative analysis unhindered by ideological boundaries, Rajan argues against such government interventions as propping up the U.S. housing market. Yet he urges Americans to create a more generous safety net for unem...more
Dismissing the 2008 recession as an inevitable free market setback might seem simple, but economist Raghuram G. Rajan doesn't take the easy path. He makes a compelling case that the weak links in the global economy remain both visible and fixable. In a provocative analysis unhindered by ideological boundaries, Rajan argues against such government interventions as propping up the U.S. housing market. Yet he urges Americans to create a more generous safety net for unem...more
Former Chief Economist of the IMF and Professor at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business, Raghuram Rajan qualifies as a heavy-weight in his field. This is the first book I've read about the Financial Crisis of 2007, so I can't compare it to others of its kind.
The book's title, "Fault Lines", is appropriate because the level at which Rajan discusses the financial crisis is deep and structural. Instead of glossing over superficial or obvious factors in the crisis like greedy bankers...more
The book's title, "Fault Lines", is appropriate because the level at which Rajan discusses the financial crisis is deep and structural. Instead of glossing over superficial or obvious factors in the crisis like greedy bankers...more
Raghuram Rajan was formerly chief economist at the IMF, and that probably explains his global grasp of our current economic problems. He identifies multiple fractures in the world economy and convincingly explains how and why the fractures intersect. Since the early 90s, for example, America's recoveries from recessions have been increasingly jobless. That's because technological advances have decreased employment opportunities for workers without a college degree. Our politicians chose to handl...more
"Politicians are coming to terms with something Aristotle pointed out: that although quarrels are more likely in an unequal society, striving to rectify the inequality may precipitate the very conflict that the citizenry wants to avoid. Politicians have therefore looked for other ways to improve the lives of their voters. Since the early 1980s, the most seductive answer has been easier credit." (31)
"[T]he reason for their rising trade surpluses is not that East Asian households cut back dramatic...more
"[T]he reason for their rising trade surpluses is not that East Asian households cut back dramatic...more
Dr.Rajan's book is an important contribution to the understanding of the 2008 global financial crisis, its origins, its causes and the ways to reduce the chances of such nasty 'surprises' in future. Rajan does not blame the bankers and hedge fund managers for their greed and high-risk investment behavior as the root cause of this crisis. He talks about serious imbalances in the global economy, political pressure to make easy credit available in the US and also the weak social security safety net...more
This is a gently persuasive book by a reasonable and well-informed intellectual. It is a commentary on the times that such a thing as this would be remarkable.
Raghuram Rajan's writing in Fault Lines is most persuasive as he addresses the events that led to Sept. 18, 2008 - specifically the race in the financial sector to attain "systemic risk" status, so as to tout government intervention in tacit sales pitches to investors. His recommendations for regulatory reform are excellent. His recommenda...more
Raghuram Rajan's writing in Fault Lines is most persuasive as he addresses the events that led to Sept. 18, 2008 - specifically the race in the financial sector to attain "systemic risk" status, so as to tout government intervention in tacit sales pitches to investors. His recommendations for regulatory reform are excellent. His recommenda...more
A very nice synopsis of the world economy following the latest financial crisis and directions on where we may be headed.
Some key points I took away:
*Three Major "Fault" lines where tensions create the possibility of future crises:
1) Domestic Political Stresses (need to deal with growing inequality)
2) Trade imbalances (America has been the economic engine by over consuming the rest of the world's output; the developing world needs to consume some of its own output)
3) Different types of financia...more
Some key points I took away:
*Three Major "Fault" lines where tensions create the possibility of future crises:
1) Domestic Political Stresses (need to deal with growing inequality)
2) Trade imbalances (America has been the economic engine by over consuming the rest of the world's output; the developing world needs to consume some of its own output)
3) Different types of financia...more
This paragraph, in my humble opinion, says it all:
Education plays a far greater role than simply improving an individual's income and career prospects: it has intrinsic worth of its own, allowing us to make use of our finer faculties. In addition, studies show that the educated typically take better care of their own health, are less prone to indulging in criminal activities, and are more likely to participate in civic and political activities. Moreover, they influence their children to do the s...more
Education plays a far greater role than simply improving an individual's income and career prospects: it has intrinsic worth of its own, allowing us to make use of our finer faculties. In addition, studies show that the educated typically take better care of their own health, are less prone to indulging in criminal activities, and are more likely to participate in civic and political activities. Moreover, they influence their children to do the s...more
This was a disappointing book overall. On the areas that Rajan knows well, international economics, the book is pretty interesting. When he tries to move into other areas, however, his analysis and conclusions are very weak. For example, Chapter 1 discusses government efforts to promote homeownership among low-income individuals, as reflected in the Community Reinvestment Act and the Affordable Housing Goals of the Government Sponsored Entities (Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac). The analysis largely...more
Sep 19, 2011
Lobstergirl
rated it
4 of 5 stars
·
review of another edition
Recommends it for:
Esther Fenchel
Shelves:
business-finance,
economics
Economist Raghuram Rajan was one of the prescient ones: at a central bankers' conference (honoring Alan Greenspan no less) in 2005, he delivered a paper asking "Has Financial Development Made the World Riskier?" His answer was yes. Events proved him correct.
Here, he uses a wide-angle lens to examine the causes of the 2008 financial crisis, and why we're nowhere near out of danger. A stint as chief economist at the IMF means his perspective is global; understanding growth patterns and rates in de...more
Here, he uses a wide-angle lens to examine the causes of the 2008 financial crisis, and why we're nowhere near out of danger. A stint as chief economist at the IMF means his perspective is global; understanding growth patterns and rates in de...more
Prof. Rajan is one of the best financial economists around. His main fault line is one that only gets deeper by the day and consists of blithely assuming that people making $4,000/year (say, China) will forever subsidize people making $40,000/year (say, US) by buying up the treasury bonds we trade in exchange for their manufactures. Beads and trinkets were exchanged for lands in the new continents and as long as the primitive tribes accepted them all went well - but what happened on the day they...more
FAULT LINES by Raghuram G Rajan
You don’t review a much reviewed and acclaimed book if the subject is not your area of expertise. More so when the author who has just taken over as the CHEIF ECONOMIC ADVISOR of your country and could very well be a Governor of Reserve Bank of India one day. And more so you are full 2 year behind others in reading the book- that has been authored by your batch mate. It’s different that you are not in touch and in last 25 years have only met twice.
more http://rivr....more
You don’t review a much reviewed and acclaimed book if the subject is not your area of expertise. More so when the author who has just taken over as the CHEIF ECONOMIC ADVISOR of your country and could very well be a Governor of Reserve Bank of India one day. And more so you are full 2 year behind others in reading the book- that has been authored by your batch mate. It’s different that you are not in touch and in last 25 years have only met twice.
more http://rivr....more
Unlike far too many contemporary political economists, Rajan (credentials impeccable) examines the background and the potential development weaknesses of the modern economy. He's aware that solutions are both tentative and crucial. While the days of Keynes, Marx and the Microeconomic Traditionalists may be numbered (with a small number too), Rajan may shed light and some noise on the nature of problems that are those of political economy, not of economics or political science. One of a very few...more
Great analysis of how domestic political pressures lead to macro-economic instabilities in the United States and abroad. Less insightful into why income disparities are a root cause, and even less convincing are Rajan's recommendations that academics might harness multilateral institutions to solve the problems he identifies.
But let's stick with the book's strength: how regulatory shortfalls, political pressures and highly incentivized financial institutions combined to create the 2008 collapse,...more
But let's stick with the book's strength: how regulatory shortfalls, political pressures and highly incentivized financial institutions combined to create the 2008 collapse,...more
Raghuram Rajan is the hands down co-winner of the best title for any economics book in recent years: Saving Capitalism from the Capitalists. It was also a very good book.
Relative to this stellar predecessor, Fault Lines was a disappointment. The thesis is that a number of fault lines contributed to the financial crisis and continue to leave us vulnerable. In Rajan's view these include: (i) inequality which led to encouraging over-borrowing as a palliative; (ii) a system without automatic stabili...more
Relative to this stellar predecessor, Fault Lines was a disappointment. The thesis is that a number of fault lines contributed to the financial crisis and continue to leave us vulnerable. In Rajan's view these include: (i) inequality which led to encouraging over-borrowing as a palliative; (ii) a system without automatic stabili...more
The book is ten chapters long and also includes a rather lengthy introduction by the author which serves as an abstract of sorts to the main prose. However I found myself speeding through the chapters thanks in part to the thoroughly engrossing narrative - Rajan takes you through a chronological as well as a thematic survey of the events leading up to the recent financial crisis - and in part to the highly engaging academic discussion which focuses on the forces that shaped the crisis and how to...more
An interesting set of essays on the fundamental conflicts and tensions in international economics and finance that led to the recent financial meltdown and how many of those fundamental tensions - or fault lines - are still present and remain unresolved. For example the tension between the use of consumer debt as a policy response to increasing income inequality and the potential for a meltdown that comes when debt bubbles are allowed to grow unchecked. Other issues covered include the formal ve...more
Rajan presents an analysis sufficiently detailed for a student of economics, yet accessible enough for a well-informed layman in a very thoughtful, balanced way. Although a noted proponent of the free markets, he doesn't subscribe to the political hackery of today's "pundits" and "experts". Rather, he describes realistic faults with the status-quo from an academic's vantage point-- the American conception of the safety net increases uncertainty in times of unemployment, which may not be suited f...more
A must read book for those interested in the seeds of the Econmomic crisis of 2008, how it unfolded in the US and engulfed the whole world in the process.
Along with Fault Lines I would also recommend the movie "Inside Job" to get a bird's eye view of the whole economic sham wherein the Investment banks, Mortgage agencies, Credit rating agencies, renowed Universities and the US Govt worked in tandem to dupe the ordinary investor of his hard earned money....thus leading to the economic meltdown.
Along with Fault Lines I would also recommend the movie "Inside Job" to get a bird's eye view of the whole economic sham wherein the Investment banks, Mortgage agencies, Credit rating agencies, renowed Universities and the US Govt worked in tandem to dupe the ordinary investor of his hard earned money....thus leading to the economic meltdown.
As with most excellent books written in the aftermath of the current financial panic, Rajan looks beyond the immediate loud noise in order to find the deeper pressure buildups and where they clash, his "fault lines." One has to appreciate a U Chicago professor calling for expanding America's social safety nets and an economist from the IMF calling for increased transparency in international organizations. Rajan accomplishes both with humility.
Not an easy Book to read especially for someone not used to reading - financial and economic stuff.
but very informative book. Explains the fundamentals of the forces at work in the World finance and economy.
Takes a some effort to understand the nomenclatures used - but i intend to read it again after a month or so to get a better understanding of how the decisions of bankers and financiers affect the day to life of people.
Great book!!
but very informative book. Explains the fundamentals of the forces at work in the World finance and economy.
Takes a some effort to understand the nomenclatures used - but i intend to read it again after a month or so to get a better understanding of how the decisions of bankers and financiers affect the day to life of people.
Great book!!
Rajan takes a worldwide view of the financial crisis—factoring everything from global trade to education to government intervention to health care to Wall Street. While I felt that it was sometimes so expansive as to be disjointed, I didn't find much to fault in Rajan's assertions. Most analyses of the crisis are narrow in their scope, aiming for a coherent narrative, but Rajan's expansive take is probably more accurate.
Rajan makes a strong case for the deep structural problems of the world economy that made the 2008 crisis possible. He highlights trade imbalances, weak domestic demand in Japan & Germany, over dependence on exports, the American politicians incentive to provide cheap credit to make up for weak safety nets, growing inequality and the skewed incentive systems of the banking industry as some of the underlying problems in the global economy. He puts forth some very sensible solutions but apprec...more
Fascinating macro-look at the global financial crisis, its causes and consequences. Rajan gets beneath the pithy headlines and now-tired aphorisms such as "systemic risk" and "too big to fail"; he is a master at drawing interconnections between seemingly disparate issues and pointing to the unavoidable human traits that make market volatility inevitable. I liked this book so much that I have started reading Rajan's blog.
Finally finishing this up after sitting on my shelf for months. This is an outstanding book, ostensibly about the 2008 financial crisis, but really about the bigger picture of difficulties in the global financial system. A truly fair and balanced look at the causes of the problems, and provides some very centrist and moderate long-term solutions. If you care about the US economy, read this book.
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