The Long Thaw: How Humans Are Changing the Next 100,000 Years of Earth's Climate
by
David Archer
If you think that global warming means slightly hotter weather and a modest rise in sea levels that will persist only so long as fossil fuels hold out (or until we decide to stop burning them), think again. In "The Long Thaw," David Archer, one of the world's leading climatologists, predicts that if we continue to emit carbon dioxide we may eventually cancel the
...moreHardcover, 180 pages
Published
October 6th 2008
by Princeton University Press
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The bottom line for our forecast of the future is that the Earth has the ability to look after its own climate, but only if we are willing to wait a few hundred thousand years. It takes that long for the imbalance of CO₂ release and uptake back into the Earth to affect the CO₂ concentration of the atmosphere and ocean. The slow response time of Earth’s thermostat is the reason why our own climate experiment from releasing fossil fuel CO₂ will persist for hundreds of thousands of years into the...more
Excellent, well-flowing and compelling discussion of the Earth's past climate, the function and complexities of climatic changes we are driving today, and the long-term impacts of those changes. Archer makes clear that a time horizon of only 2100 may be convenient for current generations but masks the ongoing result of our GHG emissions for tens to hundreds of millennia. One striking conclusion is that it doesn't even matter if we sequester CO2 in the deep oceans or saline aquifers -- on those t...more
A fascinating and refreshingly non-sugarcoated look at the deep history of climate on the earth, and what it can tell us about what we might be in store with future climate change. I learned a ton of amazing things about the science and history of the earth/atmosphere/ocean system, and the writing tone is directly from a scientist working "in the trenches" who is clearly expert in his field and also clearly dismayed that the public climate debate is so light on real scientific informat...more
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Aron
rated it
Recommends it for:
people interested in what we actually know about climate change
Recommended to Aron by:
RealClimate.org
Shelves:
climate-change
I picked this one up primarily because it's so new (2009) and also because David Archer is a well respected climatologist and not just a journalist interested in the issue. I think it's a pretty good introductory book to the whole climate change topic, but it doesn't exactly flow well at points. Archer also tends to repeat things...and while this is somewhat excusable given the format he chose (present, past, future), it can be annoying. If those two things don't bother you, then by all means...more
I'm gonna finally admit that I won't finish this book and return it to the library. I've been hogging it since January, and have only read half. It's not bad. In fact, it's very interesting, and I took notes as I read it. It's just that there are so many much more fun books I'd rather be reading right now. It's the too many books, too little time problem...
In any case, I feel I'm pretty decently prepared to counter any acquaintance's argument against global warming thanks to this boo...more
In any case, I feel I'm pretty decently prepared to counter any acquaintance's argument against global warming thanks to this boo...more
I guess this was worth reading, but I don't think it's actually as easy for a layperson to read and understand as the book reviews claim. Also, it's pretty dry, and for me, few of his analogies worked in helping me better understand climate issues. But parts of it were really readable and simple, and because it's so dry and it's really focused on climate changes, it's not at all scary or alarming. He doesn't really talk much about how the expected weather instability might affect humans or human...more
good introduction to the science of climate change
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