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Une brève histoire de l'avenir

3.7  ·  Rating Details ·  317 Ratings  ·  37 Reviews
La généralisation du règne de l'argent est en marche. Ultime expression de l'individualisme, elle explique l'essentiel des soubresauts de l'Histoire: pour l'accélérer; pour la refuser; pour l'orienter. Si cette évolution va à son terme, l'humanité disparaîtra. Si par contre l'homme recule devant cet avenir et interrompt cette généralisation du libéralisme, il basculera dan ...more
Paperback, 422 pages
Published October 25th 2006 by Fayard (first published 2006)
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(showing 1-30)
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Brooks
Jul 13, 2009 Brooks rated it really liked it  ·  review of another edition
Very interesting review of history. The premise is that human civilization continues to march toward greater openness in market/capitalism and in freedom. With the rise of the renaissance, there have been a rise and fall of leading cities in this area. As one falters, another rises - Bruges, Venice, Antwerp, Genoa, Amserdam, London, Boston, New York, and LA. Much of this is based on Turner's work on Great Cities - must be centers of trade, be innovators, and welcome immigrants. With this history ...more
D.L. Morrese
This highly speculative tale of things to come begins with a brief overview of where we've been. I was put off by an obvious error on page 7 which states that all primates other than Homo sapiens sapiens vanished from Earth 30,000 years ago. Although some species of apes, monkeys, and lemurs are endangered, many are still with us, so obviously they did not vanish. The mistake may have been due to a translation error (from the original French) because the word 'primate' is used several times in p ...more
Allan Dyen-Shapiro
This book was recommended to me by a political scientist friend. Starting with a recap of human history, focusing on the history of capitalism, it identifies trends and extrapolates these trends 100 years in the future. Predicted is an age in which the (American) empire of predatory capitalism extends to the point of near destruction of the world, followed by a time of many different wars and collapse, followed by a time in which the hell of unfettered markets and hatreds leads nongovernmental o ...more
Fabien
Sep 15, 2011 Fabien rated it liked it
Une brève histoire de l'Avenir est un livre intellectuellement dérangeant, dans le sens qu'il remet en cause l'état du monde actuel pour une vision digne des plus grands scénarios catastrophe : et il est dur de savoir si on a faire à une brillante projection éclairée ou à une encore plus brillante œuvre de science-fiction.

Attali projette dans son livre la coévolution des religions, de l'armée et des marchés, et lui fait parcourir des dizaines d'années sur un arbre des possibles au pays des "hyp
...more
Alexandre
Cette "brève histoire" se constitue de deux parties : une qui nous montre d'où l'on vient et l'autre qui nous fait entrevoir les futurs possible et probables et auxquels il serait judicieux que l'on se prépare tant leur inéluctabilité semble certaine.
J’ai particulièrement apprécié la première partie. J. Attali y réalise un condensé d'histoire de l'humanité des origines à nos jours tout à fait époustouflant et qui justifie à lui seul de se procurer l'ouvrage.
Un ouvrage clair, limpide, facile à l'
...more
Ferda Nihat Koksoy
Aug 31, 2013 Ferda Nihat Koksoy rated it really liked it
Shelves: philosophy
KAPİTALİZMİN KISA TARİHİ, JACQUES ATTALI, PhD, Prof, Ekonomist, Fransız Bilimler Akademisi Üyesi, Devlet Onursal Danışmanı, Birleşmiş Milletler Genel Sekreteri Danışmanı, FR-2006, TR-2007(1.Baskı), İmge Yayın, Çeviren: Turhan Ilgaz, 329 sf.
-Asya, insanı arzularından kurtarmayı düşünürken, Batı alemi, onları gerçekleştirme özgürlüğünü insana sağlamak dileğindedir.

-EVRENSEL 3 DERS:

1) Bir süper güç bir rakibin saldırısına uğradığı zaman, kazanan çoğu kez bir üçüncü güçtür.

2) Yenen çoğu kez yenile
...more
Jeremy
Oct 13, 2015 Jeremy rated it it was ok  ·  review of another edition
I bought this book on a whim a year ago, having spied it on the shelves of one of my favourite bookstores, Diabolik. I thought I’d better read it before the future arrived, not realizing that it had been published in 2006! I’ve long been a sucker for any kind of media that attempted to forecast what the future may be like. We do seem to be on the cusp of massive changes on this planet, but just what will they be? Will it is be dystopia or utopia for humanity? Typically the future will probably b ...more
Nancy
Nov 28, 2016 Nancy rated it it was ok  ·  review of another edition
Shelves: 2016-read
With precious regard for the natural environment in any scenario. Waffly.
Christiane Bardoux
verbeux...
Jozef
Nov 21, 2008 Jozef rated it it was ok  ·  review of another edition
Attali begint met kort de geschiedenis van de mens te beschrijven. Hij gaat dieper in op het moment dat hij komt op de ontwikkeling van het kapitalisme. Zijn stelling is dat de wereldeconomie zich steeds concentreert rond een centrale stad. (un "coeur" of het hart van de economische activiteit.) Tot nu toe zijn er volgens hem 9 "coeurs" geweest; te beginnen met Brugge in 1200 en eindigend met los Angeles nu.
Tussen beiden is er opeenvolgend: Venetië; Antwerpen; Genua; Amsterdam; London; Boston en
...more
Jay Roberts
Aug 09, 2011 Jay Roberts rated it really liked it  ·  review of another edition
Shelves: politics
The first portion of this book covers the historic rise and fall of previous economic empires. To be honest, it does not start out promising. Perhaps it was due to the fact that I knew most of the information already. At least it was a nice refresher on the past.

However, the author uses this beginning to offer a base for his theory. As in all of the future books, the information presented is a best guess of what may happen. The only problem here is that I have, after reading hundreds of current
...more
Fumi
Oct 19, 2009 Fumi rated it really liked it  ·  review of another edition
The author goes all out in his futurist view in this book, pretty brave for a person with many responsibilities and reputation to consider. I like his approach in leading you from the basics of history, so you can naturally integrate the future as a part of the continual history.
It takes the myth out of futurism, which I think is the point of this book.
I do think he's a bit romantic in the things he choose to feature, although his history lesson is so matter-of-fact. There is a human-ness about
...more
Tariq Mahmood
A book which captures the evolution of the market city cultures, from its beginning to its possible future state. I found the argument very convincing as Jacques paints a picture based on core values aligning together to create powerfully and manipulative cultures which have dominated the world at various times. Currently Los Angles is the market leader but it's time at the top is long overdue for another culture to take its place. Jacques can see some of the values receding in Los Angles and pr ...more
Jean Mousinho
"O que restará da política será também a mera encenação de uma representação feita pelos políticos, actores ocasionais de um espectáculo negligenciado."

"O amor não passará, então, de uma justaposição de vidas solitárias, e o amor não será mais do que uma justaposição de masturbações."

"Já ninguém pensará em preocupar-se com o outro."

"Porquê agir em conjunto quando o outro é concorrente, já ninguém considerará que a felicidade do outro lhe poderá ser útil."

"Os estados - ou o que restar deles em 20
...more
Kirstin Steele
Jun 14, 2012 Kirstin Steele rated it it was amazing  ·  review of another edition
A great overview of the trends of history since homo sapiens became the dominant primate species, especially economic history. Attali continues following the wave to the end of the 21st century, yet manages to personalize by naming some of the transhumans whom he believes will help the species survive and evolve. I recognized myself as one of the sedentaries (vs. a nomad) he describes. I wonder if the Wall Street types respect his views of the market shifts or if they think he's a New Age nut. M ...more
Howard
Feb 28, 2014 Howard rated it it was amazing  ·  review of another edition
Recommended to Howard by: Dan Sullivan
One will probably never think about the future the same way again after reading this book. That is neither a good thing or a bad thing - the point being that each one of us has a preconceived notion about what the future looks like, and this book challenges one to think hard about those preconceptions and their foundations in our past and what we've accepted and rejected - and most importantly, why we've accepted or rejected certain notions.

This book has a strong likelihood of making the reader
...more
Marian
Apr 05, 2009 Marian marked it as to-read
Has Jacques Attali's "Une breve histoire de l'Avenir" not yet been translated to English?? On France24.com TV I keep seeing Attali himself quoting long excerpts from it. Fascinating. But I also see another author already is using the same title in English: "A Brief History of the Future." That could make it tough.
Justin
Jul 12, 2012 Justin rated it it was ok  ·  review of another edition
Shelves: business, opinion
The English language translation was enjoyable. The first half that is, the part concerning the past history of the planet. Accurate? Insightful? Yes.

The second half of the book, or the predicitions of the future, are tedious and at times beyond accurate scope. Didn't finish this second half.

Read the first half to two-thirds. Let me know what you think.
LaFleurBleue
Jun 21, 2012 LaFleurBleue rated it it was ok
La première partie retraçant l'histoire de l'Europe à travers le prisme de l'existence d'une cité dominante imposant sa culture et ses priorités au reste du monde était très intéressant.
En revanche plus on se rapproche du temps présent et malheureusement moins l'analyse semble creusée et profonde. Du coup, cela affaiblit les projections et visions de l'avenir présentées dans la seconde partie.
Johan
Mar 12, 2011 Johan rated it it was amazing  ·  review of another edition
Shelves: french-books
Important book, everyone should be aware of the concepts explained, to understand the pigger picture and to infuence (in our own small way) the direction of the future and the fate of those around us.
Mohamed Gatifi
May 12, 2013 Mohamed Gatifi rated it liked it
Juste un extrait qui m'a intrigué et dont la profondeur réside dans la simplicité et la lucidité de ses termes , en évoquant un éventuel suicide nucléaire de l'humanité : " Rien là d'impossible : la tragédie de l'homme est que lorsqu'il peut faire quelque chose , il finit toujours par le faire "
John
Sep 28, 2012 John rated it really liked it
C'est tres interessant. He traces the rise and fall of global "centres" across the centuries - where diversity, education, innovation, and creativity have flourished and then collapsed. The cycles continue. The future may or may not be predictable, but Attali's view is compelling.
Arturo Castro
Mar 04, 2013 Arturo Castro rated it really liked it  ·  review of another edition
Excelente libro, tratando de darnos un panorama de como será el futuro en un plazo de 10 a 20 años, con bases sustentables. Una muestra es que muchas de las cosas que pasan ahora vienen en el libro cuando éste fue escrito en 2005.
Giorgio Giuliani
Dec 03, 2015 Giorgio Giuliani rated it really liked it  ·  review of another edition
As every book of this type it is full of really strange outcomes for our future. Anyway the exercise is really complicated thus I totally understand the point.

Being written in 2008 something should be already happened and parts of what he predicts is incredibly close to our reality. Chapeau
David
Mar 03, 2010 David rated it did not like it  ·  review of another edition
very dumb. Didn't finish it. The premise was basically, when in the future will society become enlightened and allow things like gay marriage, etc. His French arrogance is also very anti-American.
Andreas Brændhaugen
A concise read, with far-reaching implications for business, nationhood, war, peace, and technology.
Laeticia Barbier
J'ai enregistré un livre sur BookCrossing.com !
http://www.BookCrossing.com/journal/12755214
Alessandro Bacchini
Alessandro Bacchini rated it it was amazing
Jul 03, 2016
Piercarlo Mauri
Piercarlo Mauri rated it liked it
Jul 28, 2016
Hamza
Hamza rated it it was ok
Feb 14, 2017
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Jacques Attali is a French economist and scholar. From 1981 to 1991, he was an advisor to President François Mitterrand. He subsequently cast doubt on Mitterrand's past as a mid-level Vichy government functionary in his retrospective of Mitterrand's career, C'était François Mitterrand, published in 2005.
In April 1991 he became the first President of the London-based European Bank for Reconstructio
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“In the future, a part of this class - individuals particularly sensitive to this question of the future - will realize that their happiness depends on that of others, that the human species can only survive united and pacific. They will cease to belong to the mercantile innovative class, and refuse to put themselves at the service of pirates. They will become what I call transhumans (who will give birth to a new order of abundance). ” 7 likes
“En 1947, la pile électrique et le transistor, innovations capitales, rendent portables la radio et le tourne-disque.
Révolution majeure, car elles permettent au jeunes de danser hors des bals, donc hors de la présence des parents, libérant la sexualité, ouvrant à toutes nouvelles musiques, du jazz au rock, annonçant l'entrée des jeunes dans l'univers de la consommation, du désir, de la révolte.”
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