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It Ain't Over 'Til It's Over: The Baseball Prospectus Pennant Race Book
Pennant races are arguably the most important aspect of baseball. Players, teams, and franchises are all after one goal: to win the pennant and get into the post-season. But what really determines who wins? Statistical analyses of baseball abound: different ways of breaking down everyones chances? This fascinating and illuminating book will change your perception of the ga...more
Hardcover, 480 pages
Published
August 14th 2007
by Basic Books
(first published 2007)
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I loved the baseball prospectus book from the year before, plus the Cardinals are on the cover (2006 World Series Champs!), so I had high expectations. But I found this only so-so. It seemed to be an attempt by the Baseball Prospectus people to show that they have a sentimental side for the game as well. (Baseball prospectus is a group that uses regression analysis to analyze baseball in some new ways, generally called sabermetrics. They will develop new stats and regress data to find new wa...more
Not a ton of ground-breaking analysis here (and if I have to sit through one more explanation of Davenport translations, I swear to God), but the writing is very nice, and each pennant race makes for a great little short story.
"Years later, [Dressen] told Red Barber that the only thing he would have done differently would have been to put Campanella in to catch despite his injury, "because he would have gotten Newcombe through"--who knows, perhaps with a tissue trans...more
"Years later, [Dressen] told Red Barber that the only thing he would have done differently would have been to put Campanella in to catch despite his injury, "because he would have gotten Newcombe through"--who knows, perhaps with a tissue trans...more
Tedious and unclear and hard to read. I mostly skipped around and read the Nate Silver pieces and the chapters about pennant races that I remember (plus the 1951 NL race).
This book has the high quality of writing and excellent combination of exposition and stats-geekiness that we have come to expect from the crew at Baseball Prospectus. But I just can't get past the fact that they omitted the "Last Great Pennant Race" -- 1993's contest between the Giants and the Braves.
Much less interesting than I was hoping. Took me about 18 months to finally finish, which is an obvious sign that it wasn't that gripping
somewhat disappointing
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