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<book id="2272880">
  <title><![CDATA[The Drunkard's Walk: How Randomness Rules Our Lives]]></title>
  <isbn><![CDATA[0375424040]]></isbn>
  <isbn13><![CDATA[9780375424045]]></isbn13>
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  <default_description>Leonard Mlodinow offers an irreverent look at how randomness influences our lives and how difficult it is to recognize. The Drunkard&#8217;s Walk reminds us that much in our lives is as predictable as the steps of a stumbling man, fresh from a night at the bar, and shows us what we should be paying attention to.

Suppose you want to calculate the likelihood of tossing two coins and coming up with one head. The great 18th-century mathematician Jean Le Rond d&#8217;Alembert thought the answer was obvious: there are three possibilities, zero, one or two heads. So the odds for any one of those happening must be one in three.

But as Leonard Mlodinow explains in &#8220;The Drunkard&#8217;s Walk: How Randomness Rules Our Lives,&#8221; there are, in fact, four possible outcomes: heads-heads, heads-tails, tails-heads and tails-tails. So there is a 25 percent chance of throwing zero or two heads and a 50 percent chance of throwing just one. In the long run, anyone offering d&#8217;Alembert&#8217;s odds in a coin-flipping contest would lose his shirt.


</default_description>
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  <original_publication_day type="integer">13</original_publication_day>
  <original_publication_month type="integer">5</original_publication_month>
  <original_publication_year type="integer">2008</original_publication_year>
  <original_title>The Drunkard's Walk: How Randomness Rules Our Lives</original_title>
  <rating_dist>total:682|5:123|4:282|3:220|2:42|1:15|</rating_dist>
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  <reviews_count type="integer">1805</reviews_count>
  <text_reviews_count type="integer">235</text_reviews_count>
</work>

  <average_rating><![CDATA[3.67]]></average_rating>
  <ratings_count><![CDATA[651]]></ratings_count>
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  <url><![CDATA[http://www.goodreads.com/book/show/2272880.The_Drunkard_s_Walk_How_Randomness_Rules_Our_Lives]]></url>
  <authors>
        <author id="1399">
      <name><![CDATA[Leonard Mlodinow]]></name>
      <role><![CDATA[]]></role>
      <url><![CDATA[http://www.goodreads.com/author/show/1399.Leonard_Mlodinow]]></url>
      <average_rating><![CDATA[3.70]]></average_rating>
      <ratings_count><![CDATA[1013]]></ratings_count>
      <text_reviews_count><![CDATA[294]]></text_reviews_count>
    </author>
      </authors>
    <reviews start="1" end="20" total="1804">
    <review id="23211327">
    <user id="220791">
    <name><![CDATA[Lena]]></name>
    <location><![CDATA[Boulder, CO]]></location>        
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      <rating>4</rating>
  <votes>20</votes>
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  <read_at></read_at>
  <date_added>Thu May 29 07:34:45 -0700 2008</date_added>
  <date_updated>Sun Aug 03 07:09:20 -0700 2008</date_updated>
  <read_count></read_count>
    <body><![CDATA[The Drunkard’s Walk is a book about randomness, a topic that most people, unless they happen to be mathematicians or have a strange fascination with statistics, probably don’t think too much about.  As a species, in fact, we generally prefer not to dwell on randomness, but rather to assume that ...<a href="http://www.goodreads.com/review/show/23211327">more...</a>]]></body>
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</review>
    <review id="25254929">
    <user id="10378">
    <name><![CDATA[Mike]]></name>
    <location><![CDATA[Saint Paul, MN]]></location>        
    <url><![CDATA[http://www.goodreads.com/user/show/10378-mike?utm_medium=api]]></url>
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      <rating>3</rating>
  <votes>4</votes>
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  <recommended_for><![CDATA[math-haters]]></recommended_for>
  <recommended_by><![CDATA[]]></recommended_by>
  <read_at>Tue Jul 01 00:00:00 -0700 2008</read_at>
  <date_added>Mon Jun 23 17:17:13 -0700 2008</date_added>
  <date_updated>Mon Jul 14 11:32:37 -0700 2008</date_updated>
  <read_count></read_count>
    <body><![CDATA[Clear and generally effective, but never particularly invigorating in its claims; for better and worse, very chatty.  I like math (NERD!), and would have liked a bit more of a challenge (see David Foster Wallace's <strong>Everything and More</strong>).  But it's more fun than any 36 of 40 math teachers, so what the ...<a href="http://www.goodreads.com/review/show/25254929">more...</a>]]></body>
    <url><![CDATA[http://www.goodreads.com/review/show/25254929?utm_medium=api]]></url>
</review>
    <review id="29747542">
    <user id="1412618">
    <name><![CDATA[Nicholaskurian]]></name>
    <location><![CDATA[France]]></location>        
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      <rating>4</rating>
  <votes>3</votes>
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  <read_at></read_at>
  <date_added>Sun Aug 10 02:29:16 -0700 2008</date_added>
  <date_updated>Sun Aug 10 02:36:47 -0700 2008</date_updated>
  <read_count></read_count>
    <body><![CDATA[Fascinating book ...   It was interesting how many people I spoke to about this get very passionate about randomness.  Many people think acknowledging randomness is denying God.<br/><br/>The book is a bit chatty, and needs to focus a bit more on errors people make with statistics in their personal...<a href="http://www.goodreads.com/review/show/29747542">more...</a>]]></body>
    <url><![CDATA[http://www.goodreads.com/review/show/29747542?utm_medium=api]]></url>
</review>
    <review id="24711951">
    <user id="706046">
    <name><![CDATA[Tim]]></name>
    <location><![CDATA[Oakland, CA]]></location>        
    <url><![CDATA[http://www.goodreads.com/user/show/706046-tim-abraham?utm_medium=api]]></url>
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      <rating>5</rating>
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  <read_at>Thu Jun 26 00:00:00 -0700 2008</read_at>
  <date_added>Tue Jun 17 10:02:37 -0700 2008</date_added>
  <date_updated>Tue Jul 01 13:42:51 -0700 2008</date_updated>
  <read_count></read_count>
    <body><![CDATA[this book is great. it takes you through the history of how the statistics and probabilities we understand (or try to understand) today were first proven. It's amazing how probability is just simply not an intuitive thing for the human mind. be prepared for some anecdotes that will leave you scratch...<a href="http://www.goodreads.com/review/show/24711951">more...</a>]]></body>
    <url><![CDATA[http://www.goodreads.com/review/show/24711951?utm_medium=api]]></url>
</review>
    <review id="63699773">
    <user id="1787686">
    <name><![CDATA[Georg]]></name>
    <location><![CDATA[Berlin, Germany]]></location>        
    <url><![CDATA[http://www.goodreads.com/user/show/1787686-georg?utm_medium=api]]></url>
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      <rating>5</rating>
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  <read_at>Wed Jul 01 00:00:00 -0700 2009</read_at>
  <date_added>Thu Jul 16 05:41:28 -0700 2009</date_added>
  <date_updated>Wed Aug 12 04:24:11 -0700 2009</date_updated>
  <read_count></read_count>
    <body><![CDATA[Ein richtig gutes Buch für alle die, die sich ein bisschen für Mathematik interessieren, aber in der Schule (so wie ich) spätestens bei der Integralrechnung ausgestiegen sind. Unterhaltsam und anschaulich wird einem vor Augen geführt, wie leicht man sich bei statistischen Fragen oder bei Wahrsch...<a href="http://www.goodreads.com/review/show/63699773">more...</a>]]></body>
    <url><![CDATA[http://www.goodreads.com/review/show/63699773?utm_medium=api]]></url>
</review>
    <review id="36216997">
    <user id="1656457">
    <name><![CDATA[Trip]]></name>
    <location><![CDATA[Mountain View, CA]]></location>        
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      <rating>4</rating>
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  <read_at>Mon Oct 27 00:00:00 -0700 2008</read_at>
  <date_added>Sat Oct 25 22:59:13 -0700 2008</date_added>
  <date_updated>Sat Nov 01 14:09:24 -0700 2008</date_updated>
  <read_count>1</read_count>
    <body><![CDATA[To get to its core idea, this book passes through basic probability theory, human cognitive shortcomings, the history of probability theory, biographical anecdotes of mathematicians, and the Monty Hall problem, but it does finally end up at &quot;The cord that tethers ability to success is both loos...<a href="http://www.goodreads.com/review/show/36216997">more...</a>]]></body>
    <url><![CDATA[http://www.goodreads.com/review/show/36216997?utm_medium=api]]></url>
</review>
    <review id="29061994">
    <user id="1390215">
    <name><![CDATA[Mike]]></name>
    <location><![CDATA[Los Angeles, CA]]></location>        
    <url><![CDATA[http://www.goodreads.com/user/show/1390215-mike?utm_medium=api]]></url>
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      <rating>0</rating>
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  <read_at>Mon Aug 04 00:00:00 -0700 2008</read_at>
  <date_added>Sat Aug 02 12:08:14 -0700 2008</date_added>
  <date_updated>Mon Aug 04 14:41:20 -0700 2008</date_updated>
  <read_count></read_count>
    <body><![CDATA[A very good and accessible introduction to probability and randomness. Most people don't appreciate the fact that most of what we see every day is the product of chance. Social scientists are, ironically, sometimes more blind to this fact than others, because we are trained to hunt for patterns, and...<a href="http://www.goodreads.com/review/show/29061994">more...</a>]]></body>
    <url><![CDATA[http://www.goodreads.com/review/show/29061994?utm_medium=api]]></url>
</review>
    <review id="39177442">
    <user id="995681">
    <name><![CDATA[Bronson]]></name>
    <location><![CDATA[Long Beach, CA]]></location>        
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      <rating>1</rating>
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  <read_at>Tue Dec 09 00:00:00 -0800 2008</read_at>
  <date_added>Wed Dec 03 00:08:23 -0800 2008</date_added>
  <date_updated>Tue Dec 09 21:38:50 -0800 2008</date_updated>
  <read_count></read_count>
    <body><![CDATA[Yes, I was an English major, so, yes, I LOVE literature, but my statistics courses were my favorite courses ever. I can't claim to be an expert statistician since I haven't run a chi-square analysis in eons and since I can only remember the phrase &quot;data set&quot; but can't remember how to colle...<a href="http://www.goodreads.com/review/show/39177442">more...</a>]]></body>
    <url><![CDATA[http://www.goodreads.com/review/show/39177442?utm_medium=api]]></url>
</review>
    <review id="42031784">
    <user id="1565750">
    <name><![CDATA[Larry]]></name>
    <location><![CDATA[Williamsburg, VA]]></location>        
    <url><![CDATA[http://www.goodreads.com/user/show/1565750-larry-evans?utm_medium=api]]></url>
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      <rating>0</rating>
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  <read_at></read_at>
  <date_added>Mon Jan 05 18:02:21 -0800 2009</date_added>
  <date_updated>Mon Jan 05 18:03:11 -0800 2009</date_updated>
  <read_count></read_count>
    <body><![CDATA[Great history of the development of probability theory and statistics with a lot of interesting applications.  Actually a really fun book.]]></body>
    <url><![CDATA[http://www.goodreads.com/review/show/42031784?utm_medium=api]]></url>
</review>
    <review id="24709701">
    <user id="915682">
    <name><![CDATA[Todd]]></name>
    <location><![CDATA[Longmont, CO]]></location>        
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      <rating>4</rating>
  <votes>1</votes>
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  <read_at>Wed Oct 29 00:00:00 -0700 2008</read_at>
  <date_added>Tue Jun 17 09:36:24 -0700 2008</date_added>
  <date_updated>Wed Oct 29 11:46:45 -0700 2008</date_updated>
  <read_count></read_count>
    <body><![CDATA[The structure of this book, the latest in a recent spate to tackle some combination of probability, randomness, statistics and behavioral economics, is your basic statistics course. Or at least the one I took in biz school. A nice refresher if you're already familiar with the concepts, probably inte...<a href="http://www.goodreads.com/review/show/24709701">more...</a>]]></body>
    <url><![CDATA[http://www.goodreads.com/review/show/24709701?utm_medium=api]]></url>
</review>
    <review id="41537513">
    <user id="1036274">
    <name><![CDATA[rmn]]></name>
    <location><![CDATA[The United States]]></location>        
    <url><![CDATA[http://www.goodreads.com/user/show/1036274-rmn?utm_medium=api]]></url>
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      <rating>3</rating>
  <votes>0</votes>
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  <recommended_for><![CDATA[]]></recommended_for>
  <recommended_by><![CDATA[]]></recommended_by>
  <read_at>Mon Dec 01 00:00:00 -0800 2008</read_at>
  <date_added>Thu Jan 01 17:19:20 -0800 2009</date_added>
  <date_updated>Thu Jan 01 17:21:53 -0800 2009</date_updated>
  <read_count></read_count>
    <body><![CDATA[This is a decent book on the basics of probability which then segues into a minor rant on how everything is random.  I recommend it for those not mathematically inclined or for those who have not thought about probability in awhile and need a refresher.  It is reasonably well written in a breezy sty...<a href="http://www.goodreads.com/review/show/41537513">more...</a>]]></body>
    <url><![CDATA[http://www.goodreads.com/review/show/41537513?utm_medium=api]]></url>
</review>
    <review id="75072436">
    <user id="1429082">
    <name><![CDATA[Dan]]></name>
    <location><![CDATA[Chicago, IL]]></location>        
    <url><![CDATA[http://www.goodreads.com/user/show/1429082-dan?utm_medium=api]]></url>
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      <rating>4</rating>
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  <recommended_for><![CDATA[]]></recommended_for>
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  <read_at></read_at>
  <date_added>Mon Oct 19 18:05:49 -0700 2009</date_added>
  <date_updated>Tue Oct 20 12:39:42 -0700 2009</date_updated>
  <read_count></read_count>
    <body><![CDATA[Leonard Mlodinow has managed to condense a lot into the 219 pages of <u>The Drunkard’s Walk</u>.  Not only is his book a deconstruction of the seemingly unpredictable forces that interact with us on a daily basis, it provides a brief history of the mathematics of chance and the various players who create...<a href="http://www.goodreads.com/review/show/75072436">more...</a>]]></body>
    <url><![CDATA[http://www.goodreads.com/review/show/75072436?utm_medium=api]]></url>
</review>
    <review id="72086877">
    <user id="751680">
    <name><![CDATA[David]]></name>
    <location><![CDATA[Washington, DC]]></location>        
    <url><![CDATA[http://www.goodreads.com/user/show/751680-david?utm_medium=api]]></url>
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      <rating>4</rating>
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  <read_at></read_at>
  <date_added>Tue Sep 22 01:20:42 -0700 2009</date_added>
  <date_updated>Tue Sep 22 01:32:39 -0700 2009</date_updated>
  <read_count></read_count>
    <body><![CDATA[very interesting book on how random processes/sampling error can be responsible for large effects yet difficult to perceive.  Ties together numerous seemingly disparate effects (why are stock analysts paid so much if it's nearly impossible to beat the market average consistently?  why do people tend...<a href="http://www.goodreads.com/review/show/72086877">more...</a>]]></body>
    <url><![CDATA[http://www.goodreads.com/review/show/72086877?utm_medium=api]]></url>
</review>
    <review id="65868595">
    <user id="885754">
    <name><![CDATA[Nate]]></name>
    <location><![CDATA[Gilbert, AZ]]></location>        
    <url><![CDATA[http://www.goodreads.com/user/show/885754-nate-cooley?utm_medium=api]]></url>
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      <rating>3</rating>
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  <read_at>Sat Aug 01 00:00:00 -0700 2009</read_at>
  <date_added>Sun Aug 02 09:25:19 -0700 2009</date_added>
  <date_updated>Sun Aug 02 21:49:22 -0700 2009</date_updated>
  <read_count></read_count>
    <body><![CDATA[&quot;The Drunkard's Walk&quot; is a book in the same vein as Malcolm Gladwell's &quot;Outliers&quot; or, more appropriately, Nassim Nicholas Taleb's &quot;The Black Swan&quot; (Pseudophilosophy? or what I like to call &quot;pop-philosophy&quot;)<br/><br/>&quot;The Drunkard's Walk&quot; is basical...<a href="http://www.goodreads.com/review/show/65868595">more...</a>]]></body>
    <url><![CDATA[http://www.goodreads.com/review/show/65868595?utm_medium=api]]></url>
</review>
    <review id="63027432">
    <user id="16514">
    <name><![CDATA[Gabe]]></name>
    <location><![CDATA[New York, NY]]></location>        
    <url><![CDATA[http://www.goodreads.com/user/show/16514-gabe?utm_medium=api]]></url>
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      <rating>3</rating>
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  <read_at>Fri Jul 03 00:00:00 -0700 2009</read_at>
  <date_added>Sat Jul 11 08:04:05 -0700 2009</date_added>
  <date_updated>Sat Jul 11 08:14:22 -0700 2009</date_updated>
  <read_count></read_count>
    <body><![CDATA[For anyone which has not had the benefit of taking Statistics (hopefully in college), this book is an excellent overview of the material you would get in a college level course (although without the beauty of calculus) told through many lenses: history, social policy issues, interesting mathematical...<a href="http://www.goodreads.com/review/show/63027432">more...</a>]]></body>
    <url><![CDATA[http://www.goodreads.com/review/show/63027432?utm_medium=api]]></url>
</review>
    <review id="51525828">
    <user id="825885">
    <name><![CDATA[Mazola1]]></name>
    <location><![CDATA[Pasadena, CA]]></location>        
    <url><![CDATA[http://www.goodreads.com/user/show/825885-mazola1?utm_medium=api]]></url>
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      <rating>4</rating>
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  <date_added>Sat Apr 04 18:11:19 -0700 2009</date_added>
  <date_updated>Sat Apr 04 18:35:33 -0700 2009</date_updated>
  <read_count></read_count>
    <body><![CDATA[In The Drunkard's Walk, Leonard Mlodinow takes a fascinating look at chance and statistics and how they interact. He outlines the history of the development of statistics and measurement. He also explains basic concepts of how to determine how likely it is that certain events will happen, such as wh...<a href="http://www.goodreads.com/review/show/51525828">more...</a>]]></body>
    <url><![CDATA[http://www.goodreads.com/review/show/51525828?utm_medium=api]]></url>
</review>
    <review id="45572768">
    <user id="815199">
    <name><![CDATA[Chris]]></name>
    <location><![CDATA[Provo, UT]]></location>        
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      <rating>4</rating>
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  <read_at>Tue Jul 01 00:00:00 -0700 2008</read_at>
  <date_added>Fri Feb 06 11:55:14 -0800 2009</date_added>
  <date_updated>Fri Feb 06 11:59:34 -0800 2009</date_updated>
  <read_count></read_count>
    <body><![CDATA[I did an undergraduate degree in English, and you would not think that I would be taken in by a book about statistics.  This was an excellent and insightful view of the logical inconsistencies and downright errors made by humans because we do not understand the nature of statistical anomalies.  Mlod...<a href="http://www.goodreads.com/review/show/45572768">more...</a>]]></body>
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    <review id="29201784">
    <user id="186838">
    <name><![CDATA[Jessica]]></name>
    <location><![CDATA[Port Washington, NY]]></location>        
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      <rating>5</rating>
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  <read_at>Wed Sep 03 00:00:00 -0700 2008</read_at>
  <date_added>Mon Aug 04 07:36:43 -0700 2008</date_added>
  <date_updated>Wed Sep 03 18:09:23 -0700 2008</date_updated>
  <read_count></read_count>
    <body><![CDATA[I am, admittedly, completely dense when it comes to mathematics, statistics, and various scientific theoretical discussions, but this book not only made me understand complex (and counterintuitive) analyses about how randomness is a key element in our lives, but Mlodinow's conversational, witty, and...<a href="http://www.goodreads.com/review/show/29201784">more...</a>]]></body>
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    <review id="41296324">
    <user id="1393125">
    <name><![CDATA[Andrew]]></name>
    <location><![CDATA[The United States]]></location>        
    <url><![CDATA[http://www.goodreads.com/user/show/1393125-andrew-kasson?utm_medium=api]]></url>
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      <rating>4</rating>
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  <read_at>Mon Dec 01 00:00:00 -0800 2008</read_at>
  <date_added>Tue Dec 30 10:31:16 -0800 2008</date_added>
  <date_updated>Tue Dec 30 10:44:55 -0800 2008</date_updated>
  <read_count></read_count>
    <body><![CDATA[An interesting and scary view of the world.  While sometimes I got a little bored, this book has some fascinating ideas that are fairly disconcerting to the average person.  Mlodinow is basically saying while there are patterns in the world, that many of the patterns we think we see are just randomn...<a href="http://www.goodreads.com/review/show/41296324">more...</a>]]></body>
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    <review id="60810589">
    <user id="117278">
    <name><![CDATA[Simmoril]]></name>
    <location><![CDATA[Fairfax, VA]]></location>        
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      <rating>4</rating>
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  <read_at>Wed Jul 01 00:00:00 -0700 2009</read_at>
  <date_added>Tue Jun 23 12:13:30 -0700 2009</date_added>
  <date_updated>Wed Jul 01 13:35:25 -0700 2009</date_updated>
  <read_count></read_count>
    <body><![CDATA[I first came across this book while perusing the math section at my local Border's bookstore. The title interested me because when I was a student in college, the professor who taught my probability class was an expert in the drunkard's walk.<br/><br/>Mlodinow's book is an examination into two fie...<a href="http://www.goodreads.com/review/show/60810589">more...</a>]]></body>
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