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Odds Against Tomorrow: A Novel
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Odds Against Tomorrow: A Novel

3.33  ·  Rating Details ·  1,561 Ratings  ·  246 Reviews
NEW YORK CITY, the near future: Mitchell Zukor, a gifted young mathematician, is hired by a mysterious new financial consulting firm, FutureWorld. The business operates out of a cavernous office in the Empire State Building; Mitchell is employee number two. He is asked to calculate worst-case scenarios in the most intricate detail, and his schemes are sold to corporations ...more
Paperback, 306 pages
Published April 1st 2014 by Picador (first published 2013)
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Odds Against Tomorrow is a little better than okay. I read the book mostly in a rented condo way the hell up on Lake Superior after kayaking and other terrifying activities with my family. When I needed space, late in the evening, Rich's book did its job. The premise was relevant and interesting enough to hold my attention but I'm not sure the premise as presented is substantial enough to carry a novel.

You know how some novels have a bazillion characters? I'm looking at you, Games of Thrones guy
Jenny (Reading Envy)
After dipping into this book here and there, I finally stayed up past midnight to wade through the rest. Water puns intended.

I am a fan of post-apocalyptic fiction, and this has more similarities to a disaster movie, watching events unfold as the disaster takes place. Mitchell Zukor is a mathematician with an innate ability to predict and calculate disaster, and after Seattle is destroyed by a massive earthquake, he takes a new position with a disaster assessment type firm in New York City. I th
Jun 24, 2013 Julie rated it did not like it  ·  review of another edition
Shelves: fiction
Shock and Awe and a Failure of the Imagination

In the coming apocalypse, millions will suffer and there’s not much we can do about it. That’s the message of “Odds Against Tomorrow,” Nathaniel Rich’s exquisitely detailed story of the inundation of New York City by category 4 hurricane Tammy. It’s being hailed as the finest novel of climate change, in the vanguard of a new category of fiction: “cli-fi.”

True, it is a relatively entertaining story – if you like your heroes nerdy, fearful and swept a
Apr 17, 2013 Eric rated it it was amazing  ·  review of another edition
Nathaniel Rich's Odds Against Tomorrow, an eerily prescient take on worst-cast scenarios and postdeluvian New York, is like a more humane, optimistic version of Cormac McCarthy's The Road. Mitchell Zukor, a brilliant risk-assessor, makes a fortune providing mathematical proof for society's darkest fears after leaving the comfort of a white-shoe finance job for a mysterious start-up called FutureWorld. Then comes the flood, the realization of Mitchell's paranoia, and the onset of a post-apocalypt ...more
Jan 09, 2013 Casey rated it really liked it  ·  review of another edition
This was a good read. Blows my mind that Rich wrote a Hurricane Sandy novel 5 years before Hurricane Sandy.
But, if you think about it, it just goes to show that these storms (catastrophes) shouldn't be catching us off guard. The signs are there in the tidal charts and weather system patterns.

A good read about fear and its coping mechanisms, definitely worth your time.
Gary Schroeder
This is a difficult book to review as I’m not entirely sure how I felt about it. Let’s just say this: if you like stories which leave their meaning wide open to personal interpretation, “Odds Against Tomorrow” might be a great book for you.

Without revealing too much, protagonist Mitchell Zukor is an unsettled young man making his way in Manhattan following a mid-western upbringing. Mitchell’s great talent in life is his ability to sift through data and mathematical models and synthesize probabi
Jul 30, 2014 Ryandake rated it really liked it  ·  review of another edition
this review refers to the audiobook version.

wow! total awesomeness. i've never read anything by this author before, had no idea what to expect, bought it in a fit of i-need-an-audiobook-now. what a reward it is sometimes, taking a flyer on an author unknown to you.

the story is about a young man new to the Big Apple from scenic Kansas, who has the advantage of being a mathematical whiz. (Rich describes him as looking like a swing voter. snicker.) our boy gets a job as a worst-case scenario analys
Allan Dyen-Shapiro
I absolutely loved the first half of this book. Mitchell Zukor is a mathematical genius and a deranged individual whose mind obsesses on disaster scenarios. He gets a job as a futurist. His greedy boss finds he's wonderful at scaring big money types into buying their services so they can plan for disasters that are far-fetched, often to the point of ridiculous. But Zukor really believes in what he's doing.

Then, one day, he's right. He predicts history's worst hurricane that submerges and destroy
Nov 20, 2013 Cat rated it really liked it  ·  review of another edition
Tales of climate-catastrophe date back to the nineteenth century, but only a few novels on the subject were published before the 1990s. Recently “Cli-fi” has entered the literary lexicon in keeping with public concerns about climate change and how little is being done about it.

Odds Against Tomorrow is the story of Mitchell Zukor, a mathematical genius obsessed with catastrophe and worst-case scenarios.

He leaps from a low-level “quant” position at Fitzsimmons Sherman’s Department of Equities, As
I love this sort of character. I have lots of friends who are quants.
Anyone who says, "Well, it could have been worse..." would like this book, I imagine.

There were some GREAT lines in the first half of this book.

I would give it a higher rating for a punchier ending. I don't mind the way it ended necessarily -- but the language / quirkiness / energy of the tale was much different at the end. All the things I liked in the beginning are gone in the end. I don't think I highlighted a single phras
Gabriel C.
Jun 28, 2013 Gabriel C. rated it it was ok  ·  review of another edition
Shelves: john, 2013
I really enjoyed the first half of this book, although there were a few glaring errors of fact and/or human nature that a good editor should have caught. For example, a NYC fireman sprays children with a fire hose (already implausible to the point of breaking) and then a few pages later we read that they've turned the hydrants off in the bronx because water is scarce. Or the math equation--sure, it's only there to be flashy, but maybe make it make the tiniest bit of sense.

These are quibbles. Aft
Jul 24, 2015 Jay rated it liked it  ·  review of another edition
(Made a few corrections.)

Damn. I really wanted to love this book. It sounded so interesting and edgy - the kind of dark humor of which I am inordinately fond. Unfortunately, I didn't, it wasn't, and, taken as a whole, the humor wasn't all that dark either - more like a lint grey. I give it 3 stars because there *is* some good dialog in it - repartee that is pretty witty - and some semi-memorable, two-dimensional characters who drift in and out of the plot, all of whom I will have forgotten in t
Uwe Hook
Sep 07, 2013 Uwe Hook rated it it was amazing  ·  review of another edition
Nathaniel Rich keenly observes trends current society is falling into/has been unconsciously enslaved by. Fear of litigation rather than wise reflection drives decisions. Inertia impels inaction. The short term is all that matters, of course, because the shareholders this quarter will disapprove anything that does not maximize profits. Profits Are Paramount — longterm thinking be damned.

Rich examines the question: so what comes after the impending semi-apocalypse? Is the tree-hugger mentality pr
Claude Forthomme
An excellent read, well-written, fast paced, the main character is geeky, absent-minded and thoroughly likeable. The ending is unexpected, though in line with the character's off-beat personality. This was my first "brush" with climate fiction, and I thoroughly enjoyed it. I would just like to add that I suspect Nathaniel Rich's original intention was to zero in on one disturbing aspect of our society, the way we use mathematics and turn it into a pseudo-science to fool people and get them to co ...more
Jun 18, 2013 Ryan rated it really liked it  ·  review of another edition
This book - written before Sandy - is an incredibly prescient tale of New York City devastated by a massive hurricane. The book's third act, possibly inspired by Bill McKibben's book Eaarth, renders a world where, "the future would vanish as a preoccupation - the present would consume man's full energies." Without explicitly talking about climate change Rich digs deep into this issue. This is done by exploring hysterical worst-case scenarios accompanied by rabid analyses of risk vs. reward fuele ...more
John Brumbaugh
An interesting premise that just seemed to be bogged down by a writing style I wasn't too pleased with. I can't really describe what was bad about the writing style, but it didn't keep me interested to continue in jumping to the next page after the main protagonist left Manhattan, and the tie up to the book left a little bit too much open. I think the reason I didn't want to continue is I didn't like the main protagonist, but I didn't hate him. I just didn't care about him, so I didn't really ca ...more
This book is not for everyone. Interesting plot - quite different.
The redeeming quality this book has to offer is the central theme of our obsession or addiction to fear, the purpose that it gives us in our outwardly driven lives, and the constant messages we receive through media that we are not complete, that we are not enough, and we must strive to find that which makes us whole.
Then, the corporations conveniently provide with the means to fill these needs, and fight the fear, with their pro
"Odds Against Tomorrow" is a story about Mitchell Zukor's relationship with his fears. The book comes across as three different books compiled into one: Part I is psychological thriller, Part II is B-rated action movie, and Part III is reminiscent of "Brave New World." The changes from one mood to another can be off-putting, but the overall plot runs through each of them. I identified a little too much with Zukor; his character and the 4-star prose kept me turning the pages.
Gail Poag Smith
Truly a literary-thriller. I really enjoyed it, especially the exploration of fear in the life of the main character.

"The way other people fantasize about surprise inheritances, firts-glance love, and endless white empyreal pastures, Mitchell dreamed of an erupting supervolcano that would bury North America under a foot of hot ash."

This first sentenced hooked me. Very well written with a surprising ending that I didn't particularly like.
Trevor Brown
Jun 25, 2013 Trevor Brown rated it did not like it  ·  review of another edition
Started with an interesting premise, moved into predictable but serviceable in the middle, descended into cliched and boring after that and totally left the rails approaching the final third when nothing anyone does makes any sense. Probably the stupidest ending of any book I've read in the past few years too. Just relieved I'm done with it now.
This book was at once incredibly interesting and creepy. Still, it hasn't received either positive or negative reviews across the board.

Join us as we discuss this novel in our book club! Conversation in the comments:
Jun 05, 2013 Tara rated it really liked it  ·  review of another edition
I liked this one a lot, perhaps in part because it was so unusual. Natural disasters are morbidly fascinating, and I googled a lot of the information provided about potential structural issues with NYC - it is accurate. Towards the end of the book, I could not connect with what was motivating Mitchell any more, and as a result, the end was weaker than the rest of the book.
Apr 03, 2013 Lincoln rated it it was amazing  ·  review of another edition
Gosh this was fun. It's been a while since I read a book in one sitting, and this was a great read. The writing is patchy in parts, but it's simply a fun story with creative characters and eerily familiar possibilities for anyone living in New York. Highly recommend for a casual read!
Oct 08, 2016 Kat rated it liked it  ·  review of another edition
The central character of this novel is a numbers wizard whose genius allows him to make a killing by coming up with the odds that various disasters and cataclysms will occur. It's set mostly in New York City in a recognizable future in which people are struggling with the consequences of climate change. This novel has good forward movement, a very funny tone, and fascinated me in some ways. However, the characters aren't as well developed as I like and there are threads, one quite important, tha ...more
Full Stop

Review by Matt Orenstein

The end has been nigh for some time now. Between Y2k, 2012, and every other rapture being trumpeted from some soapbox or other, it seems like doom is always lurking. But those scenarios often amount to little more than eschatological bogeymen. They have no precedent or context, so situating destruction of that magnitude into a mental framework is nearly impossible. The Ends that we truly fear, we fear because they’re put into terms
LeAnn Suchy
Originally reviewed at Minnesota Reads.

You can’t say Nathaniel Rich doesn’t know disasters. In his latest book, Odds Against Tomorrow, Rich explores natural, economic, terroristic, and even religious disasters through the neurotic mind of Mitchell Zukor.

Mitchell Zukor is a talented mathematician hired by FutureWorld, a consulting firm for large organizations that helps protect them against future, horrific disasters. Mitchell’s job is to give his clients disaster predictions, ranging from fires
Dec 17, 2015 James rated it liked it  ·  review of another edition
Odds Against Tomorrow is a near future novel about disasters. It's been positioned by some as climate change fiction, but it's more of a thriller. The protagonist, Mitchell Zukor, is a brilliant guy who loves statistics and deep uses of math. Just out of college, he joins Wall Street and is a "Quant" who can analyze really complex trends and go deep. The boss at his initial firm doesn't really get what Mitchell's talents can be used for, but a neighboring company in the Empire State Building, Fu ...more
Jun 19, 2016 Jennifer rated it really liked it  ·  review of another edition
Shelves: 2016
This review was originally posted to Jen in Bookland

Odds Against Tomorrow was a fun read. Everything was a bit on the ridiculous side of things which made it really enjoyable. I loved Mitchell and his obsession with worst case scenarios and everything that happens.

Mitchell is afraid of dying. He is always seeing what the risks are of doing anything and trying to figure out if it is worth it. For example elevators - what are his chances of dying in an elevator accident? And if he works on the 70
Peter Clothier
Jun 30, 2014 Peter Clothier rated it it was amazing  ·  review of another edition
Nathaniel Rich has a fine sense of the apocalyptic absurd--its comical as well as its dark side. Odds Against Tomorrow sets us in the not-so-distant future, in a world where the threat of global climate change has become all too real. His hero, Mitchell Zukor, is a professional worrier, a paranoid obsessive whose mathematical genius multiplies every possible gloomy scenario to its extreme. His counterpoint is his idealized love interest, one Elsa Brunner, a young woman with a heart condition tha ...more
Jul 13, 2015 Jill rated it liked it  ·  review of another edition
Apocalyptic fiction often presumes the destruction of EVERYTHING and EVERYONE, or at least THE ENTIRE COUNTRY. Less common is a scenario given where a city or state -- even a major one -- gets hit..and all else continues, shifting aid over to the destroyed area. Less common, probably, because we don't need to imagine it -- it may not be New York City (yet), but slowly, cities everywhere are succumbing to nature. To think we'll be able to avoid it, at this point, is equal parts hubris and delusio ...more
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Nathaniel Rich is an American novelist and essayist. He is the author of two novels, Odds Against Tomorrow (FSG, 2013), and The Mayor's Tongue (Riverhead, 2008), as well as a nonfiction book about film noir, San Francisco Noir (The Little Bookroom, 2005). His criticism and journalism appear regularly in The New York Times Magazine, Harper's, and The New York Review of Books.
More about Nathaniel Rich...

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“The way other people fantasize about surprise inheritances, firts-glance love, and endless white empyreal pastures, Mitchell dreamed of an erupting supervolcano that would bury North America under a foot of hot ash.” 4 likes
“In the United States there were 900,000 elevators, each serving an average of 20,000 people per year. That meant eighteen billion passenger trips per year. These trips resulted in twenty-seven deaths. The chance of dying in an elevator accident was therefore one in 10.44 (repeating) million—about equivalent to the odds of dying from a dog bite, according to the National Safety Council odds-of-death chart he kept in his wallet. This made him feel easier about entering the metal box every morning but he did find himself crossing the street whenever he saw a dog.” 1 likes
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