Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
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Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions

3.94 of 5 stars 3.94  ·  rating details  ·  8,541 ratings  ·  1,311 reviews

Why do our headaches persist after taking a one-cent aspirin but disappear when we take a 50-cent aspirin?

Why does recalling the Ten Commandments reduce our tendency to lie, even when we couldn't possibly be caught?

Why do we splurge on a lavish meal but cut coupons to save twenty-five cents on a can of soup?

Why do we go back for second helpings at the unlimited buff

...more
Hardcover, 280 pages
Published February 19th 2008 by HarperCollins Canada (first published January 1st 2008)
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Best Non-Fiction (non biography)
54th out of 1,565 books — 2,213 voters
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5th out of 179 books — 138 voters


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Community Reviews

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Trevor
It is important that you move this one up your list of books that you have to read. This is a particularly great book. My dear friend Graham recommended I read this book. He has recommended four books to me – and the only one I couldn’t finish was “My Cousin, My Gastroenterologist: A novel” by Mark Leyler – but he did recommend, “The Tetherballs of Bougainville” also by Leyler and that is still one of the most remarkable books I’ve ever read. I haven't written a review of that book, but wher...more
David
David rated it 5 of 5 stars
Shelves: read-in-2008
All classic economic theories are based on the assumption that consumers behave rationally, despite a considerable body of evidence to the contrary. It is only in the last 25 years that economists have begun to investigate the irrational side of consumer behavior. This field of investigation, which started with the pioneering work of Tversky and Kahneman, is usually referred to as behavioral economics.

Dan Ariely's book, "Predictably Irrational", offers a clear and compre...more
Darin
Darin rated it 2 of 5 stars
Ariely is a good writer whose book catches onto the _Freakonomics_ craze by taking a look at times when people make different decisions that typical "laissez faire" economic theories would expect. His book is a fairly easy read and does include some surprising results through social-science experimentation.

However, the text is not without its flaws. For instance, some of the breathlessly-reported "surprising" results aren't all that surprising or even controve...more
Jamie
Jamie rated it 5 of 5 stars
It's only about the middle of the year, but I think Dan Ariely's Predictably Irrational is a shoe-in for my favorite non-fiction book of 2008. When I was studying psychology one of my favorite topics was judgment and decision-making, which dealt in large part with the kinks in the human mind that could lead us to irrational behavior and decisions. Why are you likely to pay more for something if you are shown a large number completely unrelated to the price? Why do people who read words like "...more
MattA
MattA rated it 4 of 5 stars
Shelves: non-fiction
A thought-provoking book on behavioral economics. Why do we make the choices that we do? What is our motivation? Why are seemingly irrational choices made over and over? The author's natural, readable style allows the laymen easy access to his academic research and the conclusions he draws on these topics. I especially liked the author's basic emprical approach. There isn't hardly a proposition or theory in the book that hasn't been tested via experiment.

I don't agree that ever...more
Ryan
As a social psychologist, I have been trained to scoff at all "behavioral economists" because they often claim to have recently discovered that individuals do not always behave "rationally". Furthermore, they seem to brilliantly deduce that the only way to accurately predict how humans actually behave is to test behavior/decision making empirically. Of course, social psychologists have been doing this for over half a century without much public fanfare or guest spots on "...more
Yulia
Yulia rated it 4 of 5 stars
Besides being a prolific researcher, Ariely is a very lucid writer and he's good at explaining the logic behind his study designs and the broader implications of their results. I just find it amusing that MIT classifies him as a behavioral economist when in any other university he'd be a member of the psychology department (like the other academics whose work he cites).

On a somewhat tangential note, he lists the Ten Commandments in an appendix (after noting a study on how listing ...more
Steven
Steven rated it 4 of 5 stars
Recommends it for: anyone with the mildest interest economics or psychology
This is a really interesting and accessible read about behavioral economics. Ariely pokes holes in the economic supposition that all people act in their rational best interest by showing ways in which people consistently make irrational decisions. The book is set up in an easy to understand manner; each chapter poses a simple question about human decision-making, demonstrates that most or all people are irrational in this type of decision with an experiment or two, and then muses about implicati...more
Riku Sayuj
Riku Sayuj rated it 5 of 5 stars  ·  review of another edition
Recommends it for: Nishant Singh
Written in the tried-and-tested and bestselling tradition of the Malcolm Gladwell books and the Frekonomics clones, Dan Ariely's book too is an entertaining and counter-intuitive look at the world around us.

While I am getting more and more inured to this way of analysis of behavioral economics and physchology, these kinds of books are still hard to resist - that is because they do, no matter if they have now become an industry doling out similiar books by the dozens, still stretch o...more
Jackie "the Librarian"
Another book that looks at human behavior, and how we don't behave logically even when we are sure we do. This follows the same well-worn path of Sway, Freakonomics, and Blink, and after having read those, there wasn't a lot new here.
Yes, humans see credit differently than cash. Ariely uses that premise to show how easy it is for companies such as Enron to steal vast sums without feeling the same as a mugger taking money from an old lady's purse, despite the end result being the same.
...more
Anthony
Anthony rated it 4 of 5 stars
Recommends it for: everyone. seriously.
Recommended to Anthony by: npr
This is the best book I've read all week (never mind that it's the only book I've read this week). While not philosophy, it should be required for all philosophers who talk about rationality and agency, as well as social scientists, and for that matter everyone. Ariely gives concise and clear descriptions of his experiments going back several years, and extrapolates general forces affecting our choices and motivations. These vary from findings that basically prove what should be common sense (SU...more
Mary
Mary rated it 2 of 5 stars
This book was somewhat entertaining, but I can't really recommend it. The author does experiments with college students and beer, and extrapolates this into a world view. Most of his applications are anecdotal.
Here's an example on p. 215: "Iran is another example of a nation stricken by distrust. An Iranian student at MIT told me that business there lacks a platform of trust. Because of this, no one pays in advance, no one offers credit, and no one is willing to take risks. Peopl...more
Jennifer (JC-S)
‘Think how hard physics would be if particles could think.’

While it is comforting to know that so many decisions are made on from irrational bases, it is discomforting to be made quite so aware of it. No, I take that back: it is quite reassuring to know that while the principles of logic have their place, people are influenced by other factors.
Professor Ariely explains some of the factors that influence our decisionmaking: from the influence of emotions to the sometimes agoni...more
Greg
Greg rated it 4 of 5 stars
Here are just a few tidbit's I've learned:

-If you're ever going to a bar, trying to score a little bit of lovin', bring a friend who looks very similar to you - only a little uglier. That way you'll look like the ideal candidate, not just compared to your friend but to everyone else there.

-People are more likely to steal things once removed from cash than cash - ie. the Enron crew who stole millions of dollars from the retirement pensions of little old ladies, but would ...more
Jess
Jess rated it 4 of 5 stars
Just finished it Nov. 18th 2008. Great look at how psychology intersects with economics and influences our behavior. We are not rational creatures but studies can predict how we will deviate from expected economic principles.
Roberto Macias
Predictably disappointing. Don't get me wrong, there is a reason why the book got 3.5 stars, and it is a book worth reading. It is not, however, a giant paradigm shift, as the author claims. He does have some interesting research results to share with the reader, and the narration is delectable. For one who assumes that people make mistakes (including oneself), there is only a few revealing chapters.



There are some that show interesting results and provide some insight into decission making. The ...more
Vicki
This is an interesting look at how an individual's decision-making process is often at odds with what is objectively beneficial for him or her. Seems a tad repetitive at times, but the examples and studies outlined are undeniably fascinating and help illuminate factors that producers and marketers need to take into account in approaching a potential audience. This would be a great tandem read with Martin Lindstrom's Buyology, which looks at the brain science underlying human desires and wants....more
Kwame
Kwame rated it 4 of 5 stars
This interesting book adds to the infusion of psychology into the arena of economics aka Behavioral Economics. Through a series of experiments, the author confirms the idea that the assumptions of perfect rationality that standard economics texts make do not always stand. Unlike many who argue that these findings overturn the classical view, I am not at all sure that that assumption is correct because the author still confirms that despite the inability of most people to make quick comparisons a...more
Peeds
Peeds rated it 5 of 5 stars
Shelves: reviewed
This is a very absorbing book about Behavioral Economics by Dan Ariely that makes you wonder if you really think rationally when making choices. It is about how “decoys” are used by merchants to confuse you about your choices, and how you would typically react to them. This book gives you numerous examples that show how we can be influenced to make irrational decisions in making choices such as buying magazine subscription, a DVD player, or a house. There are many experiments that the author de...more
Marius
Marius rated it 4 of 5 stars
Excellent book by an MIT professor describing various experiments in the field of behavioral economics. This field attempts to give some practical insights into why classical economics fails to reliably predict marketplace behavior; further, he argues that these irrational tendencies are predictable and measurable parts of human nature with far reaching consequences for interpersonal relations, commercial choices and public policy. Written in a very accessible style which allows the reader to ge...more
Loren
The premise sounded interesting enough. And when I learned this professor of behavioral economics was also a researcher for the Fed, (Translation: He's paid to promote personal failure = personal responsibilty and that capitalism is good for all because the Fed pays me to say so.) I anticipated a very Game Theorist/Freakonomics rhetoric. Benefit of doubt left me undeterred. With discernment, even truth can be discovered amidst lies. I opened to the introduction and read a list of what are obvio...more
Loy Machedo
Which is a better compliment to give your child?

1.You are hardworking
2.You are gifted
Which one is more harmful in the long rung?
And then, why?
“Predictably Irrational,” is a book written by an MIT economist Dan Ariely that explains, elaborates and exemplifies these strange questions.
It is a book that seeks to shed light into the rather relatively new world of behavioral economics and seeks to simplify how simple decisions are made by a complex mind. And the part...more
Mike
Mike rated it 5 of 5 stars
This is an exceptionally well written every day language book (no small feat for a person whose day job is a behavioral economy professor in MIT ), on how we allow to be manipulated by others but especially by ourselves. The research and case studies cover most facets of our life. Including on what basis we choose a mate, why we decide to go to Starbucks and pass Dunkin Donuts, beer we think is great even though it has balsamic vinegar drops, advance medication we think we take even though it'...more
Alli
Dan Ariely attacks an interesting aspect of cognition - how we may not be as in control of our own behaviors/tendencies as we tend to believe. Really, this is a book that is riding the wave of "pop psychology" books, first popularized by Malcolm Gladwell and his trio of books (Outliers, The Tipping Point, etc). Ariely is clearly very qualified in writing about cognitive influences - the amount of studies that he participated/co-wrote/spearheaded is astounding. Perhaps because of the...more
Laurian
I feel a bit like littlefoot in the Land Before TIme. I've gone from being surrounded by academics, and UX academics to boot, to now be surrounded by mostly CS engineers who say things to me like, "Well, that is the way we originally made it" when I ask why something is placed in the interface I'm working on. While the engineers around me tend to be supportive and considerate, it is a bit disorienting in this brave new workplace. Which is why I went looking for others like myself and f...more
Tanya Hart
Very enjoyable. I have heard versions/ some other perspectives of these stories on his podcast 'Arming the Donkeys' (on iTunes U). The kinds of ideas that let you see things about yourself that are useful to see. A different approach to things from the Freakonomics guys (who don't do studies or experiments, but analyse 'found data'), but a similar habit of unveiling unexpected structures behind the way things work, or don't work.

One study, for example, asked young men a series of ques...more
Bojan Tunguz
Many decisions that we make in our daily lives seem quite irrational when analyzed dispassionately and coolly in terms of whether those decisions make any economic sense or are they beneficial to us in some other way. And yet, those irrational decisions are not completely random, but there is some reason to their madness. The part of psychology that deals with this "irrationality" in marketplace is referred to as behavioral economics, and this research field has had a great impact on o...more
Mangoo
Ariel's apology of behavioral economics is a must read to get confident with the biases and the predictable irrationality of human decisions when faced with choices that should lead to a rather precise yet escaping ending within the framework of rational economics.
What Ariel proposes is that neoclassical economic theory, which has nonetheless undeniable advantages and credits, be extended with the numerous and rather discomforting yet predictable behaviors that humans perform in given sett...more
Verycleanteeth

Ch1:
Explores the ability of a decoy option to determine outcomes.
(The economist subscription, travel to rome or france w/free breakfast)

Ch2:
Our first experience becomes our anchor point that future instances are pegged to and rebound towards like a rubber band.

Anchor points are hard to change, but new anchor points can be created wholecloth by giving people a new experience (starbucks vs. dunkin donuts)

Ch3:
The power of FREE! to disguise the...more
Amy
Amy rated it 3 of 5 stars
Predictably Irrational is written by MIT Behavior Economist Dan Ariely. The basis of his book is that while standard economic theory assumes that we all make rational decisions to maximize our personal utility in any number of situations, we don't always behave rationally and make the best decisions. Further, we not only act irrationally, but we behave irrationally in predictable patterns. In his work, Ariely collaborates with other researchers and designs social experiments to test the decis...more
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Predictably Irrational 1 76 May 02, 2008 06:15am  
Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
Predictably Irrational, Revised and Expanded Edition: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions (Hardcover)
Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions (Hardcover)
Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions (Kindle Edition)

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From Wikipedia:

Dan Ariely is the James B. Duke Professor of Behavioral Economics at Duke University. He also holds an appointment at the MIT Media Lab where he is the head of the eRationality research group. He was formerly the Alfred P. Sloan Professor of Behavioral Economics at MIT Sloan School of Management.

Dan Ariely grew up in Israel after birth in New York. He served ...more
More about Dan Ariely...
The Upside of Irrationality: The Unexpected Benefits of Defying Logic at Work and at Home A Taste of Irrationality Predictably Irrational - revised and expanded edition Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions The Upside of Irrationality
“But suppose we are nothing more than the sum of our first, naive, random behaviors. What then?” 6 people liked it
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