false 1444903 1 In performing various economic analyses for its clients, I have occasionally been asked to investigate the market potential for various products and services in Iran. The purpose of this study is to understand the density of demand within Iran and the extent to which Tabriz might be used as a point of distribution within The Middle East. From an economic perspective, however, Tabriz does not represent a population within rigid geographical boundaries, rather, it represents an area of dominant influence over markets in adjacent areas. This influence varies from one industry to another, but also from one period of time to another. In what follows, I summarize the economic potential for Tabriz over the next five years for hundreds of industries, categories and products. The goal of this report is to report the real economic potential, or what an economist calls the latent demand, represented by Tabriz when defined as an area of dominant influence. The reader needs to realize that latent demand may or may not represent real sales. For many items, latent demand is clearly observable in sales, as in the case for food or housing items. Consider, however, the category "satellite launch vehicles". Clearly, there are no launch pads in Tabriz used by the space industry to launch satellites. However, the core benefit of the vehicles (e.g. telecommunications, etc.) is "consumed" by the area served by Tabriz. Without Tabriz, in other words, the market for satellite launch vehicles would be lower for the population in Iran, The Middle East, or the world in general. One needs to allocate, therefore, a portion of the worldwide economic demand for launch vehicles to both The Middle East and Tabriz. The data presented are the result of various spatial econometric and time-series forecasting models which, for each category presented, are applied to forecast and allocate demand across all countries of the world and major distribution centers or centers of dominant influence within each country. This is accomplished knowing that economic fundamentals (e.g. income) generally vary from one city to another within a given country over time. In this report, I report the allocation for each category for Tabriz as an area of dominant influence in Iran and, potentially, The Middle East. Important Caveat. Category definitions may overlap. The sum of multiple categories, therefore, may double count. 1435582 11 12 2007 The 2006 Economic and Product Market Databook for Tabriz, Iran total:6|5:4|4:1|3:0|2:0|1:1| 6 25 6 0 5 0 false false Wed Nov 11 05:17:12 -0800 2009 Wed Nov 11 05:17:12 -0800 2009 5 0 false false Wed Apr 09 02:02:13 -0700 2008 Wed Apr 09 02:02:13 -0700 2008 5 0 false false Fri Jan 04 09:44:11 -0800 2008 Fri Jan 04 09:44:49 -0800 2008 1 0 false false Sat Oct 20 22:44:53 -0700 2007 Sat Oct 20 22:44:53 -0700 2007 4 0 false false Thu Sep 06 04:39:00 -0700 2007 Thu Sep 06 04:39:00 -0700 2007 5 0 false false Thu Jul 05 15:27:44 -0700 2007 Thu Jul 05 15:27:44 -0700 2007