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Toward the Year 2000: Work in Progress

3.0 of 5 stars 3.00  ·  rating details  ·  1 rating  ·  1 review
In 1965, the American Academy of Arts and Sciences initiated the Commission on the Year 2000, the forerunner of what became the field of futurism. The Commission did not believe that one could "predict" the future, but sought instead to identify structural changes in society that would have long-term social impacts. And since the Commission believed that choices were possi ...more
Published September 2nd 1997 by MIT Press (MA)
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Dan Goodman
I read the 1967(?) edition. Some good predictions, but also laughably bad ones. The US would soon have essentially won in Vietnam; AT&T's PicturePhone would be in widespread use.

And other which were a bit off. The same expert who predicted widespread PicturePhone adoption also predicted the rise of cable TV. It would mean that everywhere in the US, viewers would have as many channels as New York City then had as choices. That turned out to be a serious underestimate.
Reno Gomez
Reno Gomez marked it as to-read
Dec 03, 2013
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