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Predictioneer: one who uses maths, science and the logic of brazen self-interest to see and shape the future
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Predictioneer: one who uses maths, science and the logic of brazen self-interest to see and shape the future

3.6 of 5 stars 3.60  ·  rating details  ·  30 ratings  ·  1 review
* Bruce Bueno de Mesquita can predict the future. He is a master of game theory, a rather fancy name for a simple idea: when people compete with each other they always do what they think is in their own best interest. Bueno de Mesquita uses game theory to foretell - and even engineer - political, financial and personal events. In fact, Bueno de Mesquita's forecasts, for ev ...more
Hardcover, 272 pages
Published September 3rd 2009 by Bodley Head
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Grant Lauritsen
Interesting book on using rational choice modeling to predict outcomes and engineer outcomes. Was a little light on detail, though, particularly the impact of rounds of negotiations on individual positions. Chapter on buying a car looked useful.
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Bruce Bueno de Mesquita is a political scientist, professor at New York University, and senior fellow at the Hoover Institution. He specializes in international relations, foreign policy, and nation building. He is also one of the authors of the selectorate theory.

He has founded a company, Mesquita & Roundell, that specializes in making political and foreign-policy forecasts using a computer m
...more
More about Bruce Bueno De Mesquita...
The Dictator's Handbook: Why Bad Behavior is Almost Always Good Politics The Predictioneer's Game: Using the Logic of Brazen Self-Interest to See and Shape the Future The Logic of Political Survival Principles of International Politics Predicting Politics

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