false 702887 0 0 4233748 0815713401 9780815713401 1 <![CDATA[Difficult Transitions: Foreign Policy Troubles at the Outset of Presidential Power]]> http://www.goodreads.com/images/nocover-111x148.jpg http://www.goodreads.com/images/nocover-60x80.jpg http://www.goodreads.com/book/show/4233748.Difficult_Transitions_Foreign_Policy_Troubles_at_the_Outset_of_Presidential_Power 3.00 3 702887 3.50 4 2 459477 3.00 3 1 2008 1504333 0892064072 9780892064076 0 <![CDATA[To Prevail: An American Strategy for the Campaign Against Terrorism]]> http://photo.goodreads.com/books/1184380538m/1504333.jpg http://photo.goodreads.com/books/1184380538s/1504333.jpg http://www.goodreads.com/book/show/1504333.To_Prevail_An_American_Strategy_for_the_Campaign_Against_Terrorism 5.00 1 702887 3.50 4 2 2001 5906907 041500487X 9780415004879 0 <![CDATA[Gorbachev's Third World Dilemmas]]> http://www.goodreads.com/images/nocover-111x148.jpg http://www.goodreads.com/images/nocover-60x80.jpg http://www.goodreads.com/book/show/5906907.Gorbachev_s_Third_World_Dilemmas 0.0 0 702887 3.50 4 2 583090 0.0 0 0 1989 6470354 1935087118 9781935087113 0 <![CDATA[Going Global: The Future of the U.S.-South Korea Alliance]]> http://www.goodreads.com/images/nocover-111x148.jpg http://www.goodreads.com/images/nocover-60x80.jpg http://www.goodreads.com/book/show/6470354-going-global 0.0 0 702887 3.50 4 2 117965 3.11 9 2 2931446 0.0 0 0 1434153 0.0 0 0 2931447 0.0 0 0 1432260 0.0 0 0 2009 6469668 0 <![CDATA[The Inheritance and the Way Forward]]> http://www.goodreads.com/images/nocover-111x148.jpg http://www.goodreads.com/images/nocover-60x80.jpg http://www.goodreads.com/book/show/6469668-the-inheritance-and-the-way-forward 0.0 0
The United States faces a growing and daunting list of strategic challenges: reversing the decline in America’s global standing; protecting America and its interests and allies from terrorist attacks; developing a more effective long-term strategy against violent Islamist extremists; constraining nuclear proliferation; finding a responsible way out of Iraq while maintaining American influence in the wider region; persevering in Afghanistan; dealing prudently with global climate change; working towards greater energy security; rebuilding the nation’s armed forces; restoring the nation’s fiscal health; and restoring public trust in all manner of government functions, just to name a few. The next president of the United States, no matter his or her political party or particular worldview, will confront a stark set of global challenges that defy easy characterization or remedy.

As daunting as these challenges are, an honest accounting will also reveal positive trends and powerful advantages that the United States continues to enjoy in international affairs. The armed forces, while under enormous strain, have demonstrated an enduring strength and resilience that will continue to serve the nation well in the years to come. The Bush administration has rightly focused on the long-term nature of the dangers posed by Islamist radicals. Through vigilance and hard work, the American homeland has been spared terrorist attacks since 9/11. President George Bush launched a major strategic engagement with India, the world’s largest democracy. Relations with Japan are strong and with China relatively stable. There have been important new initiatives aimed at alleviating global poverty and stemming the spread of HIV/AIDS. The president has also demonstrated true leadership in trying to fashion a bipartisan and comprehensive approach to immigration reform.

The national security inheritance of the next president is, in fact, a complex mix of challenges and opportunities. In this piece, we explore nine primary elements of the inheritance in depth: the costs of the Iraq War; military overextension; strategic preoccupation, confusion, and distraction; disregard for the rule of law; softening power and alienated allies; public disillusionment; financial indebtedness; a divided and fearful polity; and the enduring promise and potential of America. Managing this bequest must be the primary task for whoever occupies that lonely office in the West Wing. The stakes are high, and defining a way forward for American national security will be a consuming preoccupation for the next president and other presidents to follow.

Given this daunting inheritance, the next president of the United States will have a number of exceedingly difficult yet absolutely critical choices to make to chart a new way forward for America in the world. The next president must seek to restore U.S. moral authority and credibility, redefine U.S. leadership in the post-Cold War, post-9/11 era, and signal to the American people and the world that a fundamental course correction is taking place. This will require not only new rhetoric but, far more important, new deeds.]]> 702887 3.50 4 2 2931160 0.0 0 0 2007 6486670 1 <![CDATA[The Age of Consequences: The Foreign Policy and National Security Implications of Global Climate Change]]> http://www.goodreads.com/images/nocover-111x148.jpg http://www.goodreads.com/images/nocover-60x80.jpg http://www.goodreads.com/book/show/6486670-the-age-of-consequences 0.0 0
Although the consequences of global climate change may seem to be the stuff of Hollywood—some imagined, dystopian future—the melting ice of the Arctic, the spreading deserts of Africa, and the swamping of low lying lands are all too real. We already live in an “age of consequences,”1 one that will increasingly be defined by the intersection of climate change and the security of nations.

For the past year a diverse group of experts, under the direction and leadership of the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) and the Center for a New American Security (CNAS), met regularly to start a new conversation to consider the potential future foreign policy and national security implications of climate change. The group consisted of nationally recognized leaders in the fields of climate science, foreign policy, political science, oceanography, history, and national security, including Nobel Laureate Thomas Schelling, Pew Center Senior Scientist Jay Gulledge, National Academy of Sciences President Ralph Cicerone, American Meteorological Society Fellow Bob Correll, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institute Senior Scientist Terrence Joyce and former Vice President Richard Pittenger, Climate Institute Chief Scientist Mike MacCracken, Georgetown University Professor John McNeill, former CIA Director James Woolsey, former Chief of Staff to the President John Podesta, and former National Security Advisor to the Vice President Leon Fuerth. Our eclectic group occasionally struggled to “speak the same language,” but a shared sense of purpose helped us develop a common vocabulary and mutual respect.

The mandate of the exercise was, on its face, very straightforward: employ the best available evidence and climate models, and imagine three future worlds that fall within the range of scientific plausibility. As climate scientist Jay Gulledge explains in Chapter II, projections about the effects of climate change have tended to focus on the most probable outcome based on mathematical modeling of what we know about the global climate. With climate science, however, the level of uncertainty has always been very high. Indeed, the scientific community has been shocked at how fast some effects of global warming are unfolding,2 which suggests that many of the estimates considered most probable have been too conservative. When building climate scenarios in order to anticipate the future, therefore, there is a very strong case for looking at the full range of what is plausible.]]> 702887 3.50 4 2 1430461 0.0 0 1 68730 3.94 69 10 1430459 3.00 1 1 1139572 0.0 0 1 2938018 0.0 0 1 560637 4.25 4 2 424443 4.00 2 1 2938019 0.0 0 1 1213595 3.00 2 2 2007 4233747 0815713320 9780815713326 0 <![CDATA[Climatic Cataclysm: The Foreign Policy and National Security Implications of Climate Change]]> http://www.goodreads.com/images/nocover-111x148.jpg http://www.goodreads.com/images/nocover-60x80.jpg http://www.goodreads.com/book/show/4233747.Climatic_Cataclysm_The_Foreign_Policy_and_National_Security_Implications_of_Climate_Change 0.0 0 Climate change threatens not only the environment but global peace and security as well. Climatic Cataclysm brings together experts on climate science, foreign policy, political science, oceanography, history, and national security to take measure of these risks.

The contributors examine three scenarios as a basis for future planning. The first scenario projects the likely effects of the expected level of climate change over the next thirty years, based on current scientific models. The severe scenario, based on a much stronger response to current levels of carbon loading, foresees profound and potentially destabilizing global effects over the next generation or more. Finally, the catastrophic scenario is characterized by a devastating "tipping point" in the climate system, perhaps fifty or one hundred years hence. In this future world, the land-based polar ice sheets have disappeared, global sea levels have risen dramatically, and the existing natural order has been destroyed beyond repair.

Climatic Cataclysm analyzes the security implications of these scenarios, ranging from disease proliferation, large-scale migration, and increased low-intensity conflict to the risk of nuclear war. It also considers the lessons that can be learned from previous civilizations confronted with natural disaster and asks what the three largest emitters of greenhouse gases—the United States, the European Union, and China—can do to reduce and manage future risks.

Climate change may prove to be the single greatest challenge confronting the United States and indeed, human civilization. Climatic Cataclysm helps explain why.

Contributors: Sharon Burke (Center for a New American Security), Leon Fuerth (George Washington University), Jay Gulledge (Pew Center on Global Climate Change), Alexander T. J. Lennon (Center for Strategic and International Studies), J.R. McNeill (Georgetown University), Peter Ogden (Center for American Progress), John Podesta (Center for American Progress), Julianne Smith (Center for Strategic and International Studies), Richard Weitz (Hudson Institute), and R. James Woolsey (Vantage Point Venture Partners).

]]> 702887 3.50 4 2 2008 3405721 1935087037 9781935087038 0 <![CDATA[The Power of Balance: America in iAsia]]> http://www.goodreads.com/images/nocover-111x148.jpg http://www.goodreads.com/images/nocover-60x80.jpg http://www.goodreads.com/book/show/3405721.The_Power_of_Balance_America_in_iAsia 0.0 0
Unfortunately, many strategists shape policies toward the region through either a Cold War or anti-terrorism lens; both are limited in dealing with Asian dynamism. The region must be described in creative and forward-looking terms Kurt Campbell and his team from the Center for a New American Security deem it iAsia and U.S. strategy must be made anew to match.

A traditional approach will not suffice if the United States is to protect American interests and help iAsia realize its potential. The new strategic vision, articulated as the power of balance, involves creative engagement in multilateral forums while strengthening existing bilateral alliances and relations. It demands a willingness to enter agreements on specific issues, rather than as a means to cement broad-based, balance-of-power alliances. And, perhaps most importantly, it requires American political parties to perform a balancing act at home: bipartisanship in foreign policy debates must be the goal not lofty rhetoric. American engagement in iAsia demands as much.]]> 702887 3.50 4 2 1432260 0.0 0 0 2008 1504334 0333396286 9780333396285 0 <![CDATA[Soviet Policy Towards South Africa]]> http://www.goodreads.com/images/nocover-111x148.jpg http://www.goodreads.com/images/nocover-60x80.jpg http://www.goodreads.com/book/show/1504334.Soviet_Policy_Towards_South_Africa 0.0 0 702887 3.50 4 2 1986 5012257 193508707X 9781935087076 0 <![CDATA[Iran: Assessing U.S. Strategic Options]]> http://www.goodreads.com/images/nocover-111x148.jpg http://www.goodreads.com/images/nocover-60x80.jpg http://www.goodreads.com/book/show/5012257.Iran_Assessing_U_S_Strategic_Options 0.0 0 68947 3.71 58 15 12885 3.78 283 68 35477 3.42 40 9 487183 0.0 0 0 666757 2.00 1 0 702887 3.50 4 2 820891 3.00 1 0 2008 6542034 0 <![CDATA[Iran: Assessing U.S. Strategic Options]]> http://www.goodreads.com/images/nocover-111x148.jpg http://www.goodreads.com/images/nocover-60x80.jpg http://www.goodreads.com/book/show/6542034-iran 0.0 0 487183 0.0 0 0 2081084 0.0 0 0 702887 3.50 4 2 68947 3.71 58 15 820891 3.00 1 0 666757 2.00 1 0 12885 3.78 283 68 35477 3.42 40 9 2008